TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ed8…8de5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 61 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST4459.1%26 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.49
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150%+$20.58
Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+241.6%+$50.81
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+46.3%+$47.64
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$2.88
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69.48
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.94
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.39
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+110.6%+$33
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.5%+$5.59
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+203%+$101.52
Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.87
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.68
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+233.3%+$65.22
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40.96
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18.19
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.8%+$20.54
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+124.3%+$24.3
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.71
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+57.9%+$16.75
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$44.35
Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+131.6%+$98.98
Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34.85
Will Juventus FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Will Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.94
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$63.94
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.42
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.12
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.92
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$43.79
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.89
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58%+$8.26
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Pisa SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$93.49
Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$34.14
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$75.41
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$28.82
Will US Lecce vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.07
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.21
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.21
Egypt vs. Benin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$101.22
Will Tunisia win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+125.7%+$17.52
Mali vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.48
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$68.24
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$52.09
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.1%+$9.84
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40.65
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$80.05
Will Gabon vs. Mozambique end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+34.1%+$43.14
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+28.2%+$43.81
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-35.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.08
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+141%+$31.75
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36.84
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.84
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$7.63
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.08
Will FC Arouca win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.85
Will FC Arouca vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$69.8
Will Casa Pia AC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$31.32
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17.26
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.63
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$43.21
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+97.3%+$86.36
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$56.34
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+116.5%+$70.79
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.43
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.1%+$21.97
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+80.9%+$13.88
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$109.3
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.53
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid+21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-78%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.04
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+135.2%+$28.45
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marist Red Foxes vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+126.7%+$23.56
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.9
Liberty Flames vs. Florida International Golden Panthersbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+54.6%+$7.59
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$37.98
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.52
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+144.7%+$70.85
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$36.92
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Ivory (BO3)backed Yangon Galacticos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25.71
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+47.8%+$5.38
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Outfit 49 (BO3)backed Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+27.1%+$4.64
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3)backed Sangal ALTERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.