Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10409d30ec14bf64c2cf2ae741309a4610526b2e808cc87387716d0236bdd418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 76c | 29,433$22,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,131.19 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 28,356$5,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,541.5 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 24c | 7,220$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.19 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Under | 76c | 2,620$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 20c | 2,156$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.56 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 23c | 1,397$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.24 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 24c | 1,250$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 26c | 777$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Over | 26c | 265.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 25c | 194.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 155.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Over | 22c | 155.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…8c31backed Over | 15c | 142.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 74c | 138$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Over | 25c | 114$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 74c | 97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 74c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…8ec6backed Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…807ebacked Over | 26c | 48.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Over | 26c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 75c | 36.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…bf0abacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…dad2backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked Under | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.