Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3162f620253e9016f21b78a4ef002cfc4c4f012304399610c85e1b0e172a7207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juventus FCof Juventus FC, Pisa SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Pisa SC | 74c | 6,121$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529.02 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pisa SC | 62c | 2,989$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.81 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Juventus FC | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pisa SC | 62c | 2,070$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.4 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Juventus FC | 38c | 1,943$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Juventus FC | 42c | 1,901$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.83 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Juventus FC | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Juventus FC | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pisa SC | 61c | 876.64$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.75 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pisa SC | 61c | 821.97$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.4 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Juventus FC | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Juventus FC | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Juventus FC | 39c | 464.1$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Juventus FC | 29c | 440.03$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.81 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Juventus FC | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Juventus FC | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Juventus FC | 39c | 266.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Juventus FC | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Juventus FC | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Juventus FC | 20c | 237.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.39 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Pisa SC | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Juventus FC | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Pisa SC | 65c | 143.83$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Juventus FC | 39c | 141.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Juventus FC | 24c | 123$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Pisa SC | 50c | 110.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Juventus FC | 39c | 104.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…d049backed Juventus FC | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Juventus FC | 39c | 101.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Juventus FC | 28c | 101$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…e775backed Juventus FC | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Juventus FC | 39c | 93.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Pisa SC | 62c | 92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Juventus FC | 38c | 86.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Pisa SC | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Juventus FC | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…38c9backed Juventus FC | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Pisa SC | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Juventus FC | 33c | 54.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Juventus FC | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Juventus FC | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Juventus FC | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Juventus FC | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Juventus FC | 50c | 44.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Juventus FC | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Juventus FC | 43c | 40.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Pisa SC | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Juventus FC | 41c | 35.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Pisa SC | 58c | 28.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Pisa SC | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Pisa SC | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Pisa SC | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)this page
- Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.