TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$469,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$474,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $469,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over48c385,032$183,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183,572.712450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under53c144,395$77,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,261.8396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c54,780$28,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,294.493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c54,000$28,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,80016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under52c45,688$23,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,930.097938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c22,370$12,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,417.912,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,600560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under53c19,341$10,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,090.459150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c16,345$8,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,643.871,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over46c13,070$6,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,012.2411848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under52c9,807$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,707.364261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under54c7,407$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.412171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under53c5,736$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.9345547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under54c5,720$3,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.282850%14 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4005369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Under74c2,714$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.322268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20033357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9408251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75210152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under53c1,509$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.233050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7053636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Under53c1,426$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.7912950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under59c1,297$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.54443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over24c1,250$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.647544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Under73c1,036$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.621258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over46c1,026$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.084351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under53c950$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.55747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33620827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over47c610.64$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28715253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2705530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28225556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over45c540$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2436349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over4c497.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9328445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under53c480$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.612048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under53c480$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.616851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under79c460.15$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2910456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under54c431.53$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5959240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef42…5d27backed Over49c412.89$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18828556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under53c377.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.392653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.364134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under53c360$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.228458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Over17c330$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.71838.9%7 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14118459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6894…3a44backed Over40c264.2$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.68887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick60cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under53c240$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.811154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under53c240$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.811454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under53c240$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.810252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under53c240$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.812253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under53c240$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.811448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over47c238.68$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.184858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over47c237.11$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4431441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over13c225.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9419…a40fbacked Under60c214.61$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.19988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick60cpaid+49.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over5c195$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5514936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8956…9e83backed Over6c190.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.821729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under52c188$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.243458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e70…2227backed Under54c183.15$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.615847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.67353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.613648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Under70c171.11$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.331643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c2a…37f4backed Over20c166.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.511442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.511550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.812454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under73c136.95$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under52c133$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.842055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over48c122.92$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5915238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Over48c122.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.78922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under53c121.38$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6215045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.49445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.412453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.410952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.47746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.414155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.412754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.49447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.413650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411060%66 W · 44 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over23c117.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over47c110.07$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7320841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Over47c107.68$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab9…1437backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4a7…613abacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Under53c99.81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.915558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+43.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under68c87.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8524849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.