Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91d960331b628ffe46c41b842de7af48faf8fa0ea4747ae08102cc135afd5efe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 27c | 5,700$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,161 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 5,440$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.83 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 3,248$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.61 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 57c | 1,768$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.22 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 43c | 1,288$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.49 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 43c | 1,209$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.3 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 1,063$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.9 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 51c | 899.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 834.29$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.29 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…0accbacked Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 27c | 340$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 22cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Under | 59c | 252.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under | 32c | 185.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 62c | 145$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 67c | 116.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 31c | 101.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…fca8backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 26c | 98.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 62c | 95.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 57c | 87.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 55c | 83.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 25c | 81.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Over | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…1610backed Over | 56c | 79.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked Over | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Over | 31c | 61.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 35c | 53.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd9…431dbacked Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 48c | 42.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Under | 64c | 39.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 57c | 36.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Under | 60c | 32.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 66c | 30.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Under | 47c | 29.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…c2e3backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…cb5ebacked Over | 37c | 27.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 73c | 25.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 74c | 23.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Over | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.