TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x56c6…0ea4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4637%17 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+61.5%+$9.22
Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+70.6%+$14.43
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+105.4%+$18.61
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+43.1%+$6.46
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.2%+$5.99
Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+81.2%+$14.73
West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+44.9%+$7.37
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+156%+$26.53
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST3129%9 W · 22 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Serie A — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+71.8%+$21.55
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+103.3%+$14.47
Will AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+213.3%+$23.47
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Pisa SC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17.16
Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Pisa SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Cagliari Calcio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+56.4%+$20.07
Will Torino FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+45%+$60.25
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+189.2%+$30.28
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+144.2%+$21.63
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+617.5%+$86.45
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed PSV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+72.6%+$93.64
Will PSV win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12
PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21.54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+281.5%+$42.23
Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+79.8%+$11.97
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+122.5%+$26.94
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Villarreal (-1.5)backed Villarreal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.2%+$12.9
Will Real Ávila CF win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will CD Atlético Baleares win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$5.14
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+77.6%+$23.27
Girona vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
All 17 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-63.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+61.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-11.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+50.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$16.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.