Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia win on 2025-12-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6948bd92b0baaab7a81808dff14f9399448f14751d097ac54e4c265416250b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 44c | 9,894$4,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,540.79 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 17c | 5,905$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,901.45 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 5,222$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 17c | 3,867$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.28 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 2,772$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.99 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 51c | 1,980$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 77c | 1,754$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 23c | 1,545$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 1,531$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.94 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 32c | 1,524$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.55 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 17c | 888$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.04 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 47c | 853.02$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.28 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 73c | 616.22$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.22 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 73c | 595.98$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.14 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 72c | 572.55$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.68 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 44c | 407.96$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.33 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…b3adbacked Yes | 17c | 405$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 386.08$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.04 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked No | 32c | 310.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 16c | 303.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.22 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 33c | 301.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed No | 56c | 285.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 16c | 281.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked No | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…ad59backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…3366backed Yes | 78c | 249.94$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 187.07$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 17c | 182.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked No | 36c | 180.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…b32cbacked Yes | 76c | 171.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 47c | 165.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 17c | 163.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.8 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 30c | 162.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 73c | 152.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 44c | 147.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…1f68backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…2ff0backed No | 52c | 128.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 127.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked No | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 50c | 91.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 56c | 86.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Yes | 72c | 70.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 38c | 58.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 35c | 57.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…e2b3backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Yes | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 47.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 58c | 45.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccb…a193backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Yes | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Yes | 78c | 25.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…9881backed Yes | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…e035backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde22…292abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4611…5e03backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…e50abacked No | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked Yes | 74c | 16.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2025-12-19?this page
- Will Estoril Praia vs. SC Braga end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.