Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia vs. SC Braga end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe5b79fba6c07068df33a78bd2e9d33c78184b28bdcdad50f4722fc878c9b606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 1,605$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.19 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 1,468$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.16 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,311$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 962.96$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Yes | 32c | 776.3$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 25c | 612.28$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 455.64$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 25c | 401$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 28c | 283.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 177$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 26c | 139.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 104.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 78c | 102$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 23c | 94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 24c | 86.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 23c | 83.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 26c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 76c | 63.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 74c | 53.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9ebbbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Yes | 32c | 47.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 23c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes | 26c | 43.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…b521backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked No | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 23.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed No | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -5.0wins | -0.45per pick | 63cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…c8aabacked No | 78c | 17.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia vs. SC Braga end in a draw?this page
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2025-12-19?Yes won
- Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.