TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x562c…e035

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-6.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-38.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47%+$5.17
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)backed Port Vale FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.99
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47%+$6.58
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.36
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+58%+$12.88
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.45
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+139.2%+$16.01
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+56.5%+$18.82
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid0%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)backed US Cremonese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed US Lecce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.67
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$29.38
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Pisa SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+59.9%+$7.97
Will AS Roma vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$29.81
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.6
SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.66
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$33.4
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.9%+$9.47
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+82.8%+$9.53
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$16.24
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25%+$3.25
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+39.4%+$7.68
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.5%+$11.86
ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Juventus FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+167.1%+$30.08
SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.81
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.5
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$20.71
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.7%+$15.12
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+53.8%+$6.46
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.66
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$12.38
Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.94
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.4%+$6.34
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will CD Guadalajara vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will CD Eldense vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+74.6%+$31.32
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+108.4%+$32.53
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+62.8%+$10.68
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Te Boté - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+58.7%+$35.25
Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+76.8%+$54.93
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$31.03
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.2
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$18
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Patriots vs. Ravens: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$16.33
Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.63
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-45.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$16.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$21.76
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16
FC Barcelona vs. FC København: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$38.76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+75.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.16
Wild vs. Sharksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.29
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+137.6%+$26.14
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$27.66
First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italybacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$25.02
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$145
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.