TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$248,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$255,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over45c175,511$78,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,693.931369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c60,228$33,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,125.5193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under57c38,314$21,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,706.0896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under55c22,108$12,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,193.5352748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under55c12,504$6,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,877.4416045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked Under65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50060%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c6,004$3,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,326.222,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Under57c6,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.991353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Under3c3,200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Under55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6502774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6801747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c2,771$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.751,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under3c2,200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7240%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Under57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under57c1,739$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.7715550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…0c03backed Under60c1,686$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Under70c1,590$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1137145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under55c1,527$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.854261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under55c1,501$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.8233357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over41c1,408$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.7259240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1392…ab2abacked Under61c1,317$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Under76c1,250$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.822161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over43c1,070$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61011848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under59c842.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44810152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77e1…5924backed Under6c600$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3650%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under56c540$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.45747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Under57c519.51$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.85947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under56c455$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7112452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2243366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Under57c389.02$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.2520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Under56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over44c318.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1815238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16512540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea31…f286backed Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Under55c298.16$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.221747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over44c269.45$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8913754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.510744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over43c248.12$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4345547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under42c241.26$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2824849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Under64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222450%12 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2221650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Under59c203.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11225556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11218459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Under59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over41c195.73$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4810736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under55c186$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.337250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd628…c85dbacked Under56c181$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e0…22d2backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over33c176.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.248863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Over45c173.53$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.44922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Under11c171.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.561816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+66.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under56c160$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.612048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under56c160$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.616851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x114c…ff77backed Under60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Under80c123.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.215847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.828458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under41c118.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4615045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f5…86a8backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6733…576abacked Under58c110$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc639…c5a2backed Under68c102.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under54c102.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.345236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Under58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585632.1%18 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72a2…e265backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Over22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784520%9 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Under55c87.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9810039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0424…eaddbacked Under56c86.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Under56c82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.92825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.811154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.88148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.811454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.88948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.810952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.87746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.810252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.811953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.89447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over39c80$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.815459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.811448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Over45c75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under57c71.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.938952.8%47 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Over43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.774746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.813650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d00…a6f3backed Over43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.142842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4139…20c9backed Over42c57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Under75c53.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d55…b38abacked Over42c53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under58c51.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8120841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.514936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.