Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x810cdbf518d3e095550a1db79248b2073df66fc7ff59202c4f82c79d2026db5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 3c | 4,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 35c | 3,447$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.1 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 3c | 3,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 80c | 2,993$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.47 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 72c | 2,100$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 1,602$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.97 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Over | 77c | 1,293$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.1 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.9 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Over | 66c | 260.61$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Under | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Under | 33c | 213.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 14c | 173.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 65c | 170.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 67c | 149.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Over | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 54c | 106$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 33c | 76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 22c | 66.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 31c | 63.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 29c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Over | 71c | 56.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 73c | 54.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…a268backed Under | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 43.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…349cbacked Over | 59c | 42.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 70c | 34.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2124…d01abacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Over | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked Over | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Juventus FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.