Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aa9396cf212199efabe0c871ccda007d46205b871b97b01d9d40239ba557d35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 3,996$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 62c | 3,681$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.55 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 2,921$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.77 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 36c | 2,262$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.54 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 64c | 1,864$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.97 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 38c | 1,396$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.1 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 37c | 1,194$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.78 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 62c | 856.78$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 785.79$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.85 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 62c | 660$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.42 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 36c | 658.15$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.07 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 64c | 550.66$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.72 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 63c | 496.23$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.26 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…1763backed Yes | 20c | 440.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 49c | 404.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 55c | 384.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 369.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.06 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 346.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…ae21backed Yes | 60c | 331.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 27c | 294.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 55c | 282$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 37c | 280$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 54c | 265.54$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.39 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 52c | 249.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 61c | 249.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 57c | 230$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 38c | 216.56$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…1433backed Yes | 5c | 205$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Yes | 63c | 203.41$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864e…f9f6backed No | 38c | 174.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 67c | 172.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e43…c607backed Yes | 64c | 167.47$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e39…ab7fbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 38c | 159.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 39c | 153.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…41bebacked Yes | 63c | 152.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…be45backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 24c | 127.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Yes | 64c | 117.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 44c | 109.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99df…b59abacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 40c | 96.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 60c | 95.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…d2fcbacked Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 60c | 83.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 42c | 82.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…4ed9backed Yes | 63c | 79.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…01e8backed Yes | 42c | 76.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Yes | 62c | 67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Yes | 62c | 65.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 64c | 63.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 57c | 61.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed No | 49c | 58.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 62c | 57.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Yes | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 36c | 41.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0553…047abacked Yes | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 38c | 39.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…8897backed No | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 64c | 31.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…0086backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6940…781cbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 38c | 27.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7f…8abebacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Yes | 62c | 21.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 58c | 21.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Yes | 61c | 19.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…ebeabacked Yes | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…e035backed Yes | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Under won
- 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5Under won
- 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.