Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7007f403d9fca4261060249883ac65fdf5632cb75eee841827a0be96b86f3564
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $547,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $543,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $547,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 43c | 215,890$92,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,118.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Over | 0c | 118,548$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Over | 0c | 95,661$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 42c | 47,530$19,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,642.99 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 57c | 38,594$21,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,998.86 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 57c | 31,158$17,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,759.99 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 57c | 27,476$15,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,658.24 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 57c | 15,500$8,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,835 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 12,028$6,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,957.91 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 57c | 11,111$6,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,333.27 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 58c | 10,690$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 42c | 9,999$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.66 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 59c | 7,554$4,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,456.98 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 58c | 6,897$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Over | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 4,732$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.36 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 3,192$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.89 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 57c | 3,157$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.37 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 58c | 3,001$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.58 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 58c | 2,901$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.78 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 57c | 2,811$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.54 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 58c | 2,327$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Over | 3c | 1,800$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 57c | 1,482$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 62c | 1,460$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.09 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 55c | 1,457$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 57c | 1,409$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.38 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 1,323$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.15 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 75c | 1,300$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.02 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…ae22backed Over | 51c | 1,197$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 55c | 1,098$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 57c | 899.99$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 37c | 757.23$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 45c | 729.8$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.82 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Over | 59c | 708$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 55c | 542.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 52c | 514.81$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 58c | 491.55$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.94 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 58c | 473.43$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.59 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 60c | 469.94$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.25 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 57c | 450$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 57c | 450$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 57c | 450$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 45c | 442.22$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 59c | 439.16$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 59c | 409.97$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.88 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under | 49c | 409.84$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.02 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 62c | 402.21$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.37 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 19c | 393.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over | 60c | 388.8$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.91 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Under | 68c | 382.97$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 58c | 376.34$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.52 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 57c | 360$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 58c | 343.57$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.33 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 63c | 320$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 62c | 296.77$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 42c | 287.74$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 57c | 280$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Over | 51c | 275.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 58c | 275$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 51c | 249.82$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.41 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…6677backed Under | 39c | 239.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 58c | 238.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 57c | 230.6$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 57c | 227.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 57c | 218.08$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 36c | 210.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Over | 60c | 210.23$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 204.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…4f5abacked Under | 41c | 202.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Over | 60c | 198.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 57c | 190$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 53c | 187.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 43c | 180.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Under won
- 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.