Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cd3759ef095b5e4eb0a3a9ec7180eae04ba8d731aafd4ab1d40ea08ca3b8360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 37c | 12,484$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 11,311$7,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.86 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 8,277$5,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.12 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Over | 1c | 7,630$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Over | 1c | 2,525$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 37c | 2,112$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.44 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 63c | 1,637$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.6 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Over | 39c | 1,559$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 63c | 1,393$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.24 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 75c | 1,127$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.69 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 63c | 939$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.9 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 60c | 893.02$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.21 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 65c | 846.15$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.15 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 21c | 585.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.29 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 37c | 553.24$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.7 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 63c | 500.04$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.55 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 37c | 486.87$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.14 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 34c | 441.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 65c | 402.9$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.07 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 37c | 360$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 61c | 327.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.44 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Over | 37c | 303$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 35c | 284.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 33c | 268.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 37c | 241.56$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 63c | 219.03$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 38c | 211.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 69c | 186.83$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 64c | 180$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Over | 39c | 171$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 37c | 170$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 37c | 170$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 38c | 155.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…ae87backed Under | 68c | 147.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 38c | 145.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 37c | 132.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 36c | 132$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…0ea7backed Over | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Over | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 63c | 117.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Under | 74c | 115.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 35c | 114.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Over | 35c | 112.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 39c | 109$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 18c | 94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 12c | 91.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Over | 17c | 85.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5a…0f0cbacked Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 64c | 72.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…60fdbacked Over | 31c | 64.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…d019backed Under | 63c | 63.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…4c95backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f95…1f16backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd233…50e5backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8260…3a6abacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…3117backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6593…5a54backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa41…f05dbacked Over | 39c | 53.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…bf68backed Over | 38c | 53.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd023…8e17backed Over | 38c | 52.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…74e1backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…5c6bbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…9949backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 37c | 47.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 35c | 47.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 28c | 47.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Under | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…9406backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed Over | 31c | 35.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Under | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…6c6cbacked Under | 75c | 33.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9926…71c3backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 75c | 29.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Over | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 40c | 28.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Under | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5this page
- 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Under won
- 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5Under won
- 1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.