TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb58…a62e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
285
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT21767.7%147 W · 70 L-0.8wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 217 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.06
Segovia: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Oliver Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$17.02
Winnipeg: James McCabe vs Duncan Chanbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.86
Winnipeg: Tyler Zink vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$88.9
Estoril Open: Gonzalo Bueno vs Tiago Pereirabacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$60.26
Set 1 Winner: Bueno vs Pereirabacked Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$28.28
Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila Spiteribacked Alessandra Mazzola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.44
Generali Open: Lukas Neumayer vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$109.11
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$133.67
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Mark Lajalbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$702.97
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$251.44
Estoril Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$59.79
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Dylan Dietrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.91
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$137.49
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$274.45
Tyler: Henry Searle vs Mitchell Kruegerbacked Henry Searle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$149.49
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$233.63
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$70.38
Roland Garros ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajdabacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.21
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.11
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Francesco Maestrelli vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.67
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffinbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$208.98
Set 1 Winner: Bueno vs Sachkobacked Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$103.6
Set 1 Winner: Chanta vs Milicbacked Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$155.67
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Koprivabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$153.55
Showing 25 of 217 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick68cpaid-60.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$134.73
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.42
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$123.08
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$155.91
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$182.49
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.14
All 6 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+83.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,037Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$488.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. USA: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+27.6%+$55.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.