Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x455b1996868cc3310cd0a3d5f66b365d23d5bd5bfdc94ec48284af2834cc75ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 32c | 27,768$8,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,886.69 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 69c | 7,696$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.76 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 74c | 1,230$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 38c | 1,206$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.91 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 28c | 1,012$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.6 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 73c | 900$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 74c | 677.75$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.76 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 29c | 659$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 35c | 572.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 57c | 500$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 74c | 487.84$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 61 | 82%50 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 49c | 481.5$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 69c | 450$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 69c | 450$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 45c | 443$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.64 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 75c | 421.33$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 22c | 399.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 374.5$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 69c | 350$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…f8a0backed Over | 74c | 344.03$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 60c | 303.74$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 26c | 280$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 69c | 234$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 70c | 218.93$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 69c | 190$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 69c | 180$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…9c0abacked Over | 58c | 175.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 69c | 170$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 26c | 170$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 69c | 170$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 69c | 170$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 69c | 170$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 69c | 170$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 69c | 170$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 69c | 170$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 72c | 167.72$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Over | 68c | 149.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 69c | 148.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…c4efbacked Over | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 74c | 113.51$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 70c | 107.07$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 44c | 102$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 69c | 100.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…511fbacked Over | 74c | 100.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 35c | 99.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Under | 46c | 90.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Under | 80c | 90$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…6875backed Under | 56c | 82.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…493dbacked Over | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…effdbacked Over | 78c | 78.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…9514backed Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…4593backed Over | 68c | 74.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 67.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Under | 53c | 63.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5this page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.