Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42b7dca7f42f3a131975fb9b246e9c47041390ebafa667f167c7785484db9e5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 47c | 36,072$16,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,953.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 59c | 26,421$15,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,725.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 53c | 4,004$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.12 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Over | 47c | 3,625$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 3,318$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.35 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 55c | 1,334$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.43 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 46c | 899.08$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.58 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 53c | 830.23$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.51 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 52c | 496.82$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.67 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 52c | 402.04$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 53c | 360$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 53c | 359.02$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.83 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 54c | 333.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 53c | 280$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 53c | 265.53$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 235.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.63 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 31c | 188$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 52c | 185.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 53c | 143.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 56c | 134.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Over | 36c | 129.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 47c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 48c | 96.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…b931backed Under | 70c | 94.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 48c | 62.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 48c | 52.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 48c | 50.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Under | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 32c | 41.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…dbcabacked Under | 49c | 41.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 40c | 38.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 72c | 38.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 53c | 37.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e3…6e96backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…bd1fbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 32.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 54c | 29.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5this page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.