TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,420

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,137 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c4,851$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800.083,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under66c4,840$3,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,195.234141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over17c4,759$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,967.4112132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Over65c4,583$2,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.411464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under39c3,128$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.632853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Under69c2,747$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.271118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.35per pick54cpaid-66.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over30c1,890$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.441,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c1,883$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.8482844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea0…8d74backed Under27c1,847$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over17c1,118$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.8410418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Under65c1,018$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.451656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd456…aba4backed Under32c951.86$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-63.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under33c938.61$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.671,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x414c…f10bbacked Under80c910.36$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.29475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick78cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Under65c848.26$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.171952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under76c791.24$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.871050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under9c772.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.336512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Under18c771.6$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.444936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Under47c694.22$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.282821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under18c674.64$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0383640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under75c656.67$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.55166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over73c599.99$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1624971.4%35 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over70c580$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17423255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over67c528.51$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.994942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under32c507.52$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5941351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over61c494.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.673764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over80c494$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.819258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Over59c493.4$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.722142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Over64c458.77$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.262755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over29c419.19$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.5860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under55c380.71$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.5413151.1%67 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…dc0fbacked Under62c378.27$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.531040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f77…f668backed Under14c338.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.421040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3313645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Over67c329.87$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.867031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under40c315.5$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.192345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under71c315.29$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.295366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over17c301.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.4411331%35 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Over65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Over66c295.36$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.427936.7%29 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under16c293.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.032642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over41c291.18$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.816363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over16c283.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1822658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Under18c264.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.54955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+45.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Under14c247.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+77.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Over17c223.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.571225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a5…3eb7backed Over75c220$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…b7c8backed Under74c199.54$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f7b…b21ebacked Under15c197.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.38922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over74c194.82$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.656456.3%36 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under21c184.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.298246.3%38 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked Under14c179.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.871861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d8a…7a39backed Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.61475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked Under50c173.58$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.55728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick68cpaid-60.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over16c171.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.94344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.493154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under30c154.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0445841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over41c147.82$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2117562.9%110 W · 65 L+32.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+64.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xb354…0b3bbacked Over50c144.14$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.07944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under63c140$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.27447.3%35 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over17c139.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9849228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Over17c138.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.772161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a5…fb95backed Over78c134.45$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Over22c133.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.813050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under74c133.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.444454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over65c132.95$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.641450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Under19c125.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.792321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-43.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked Over37c124.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over65c115.16$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5859555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over59c111.85$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.495841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over62c108.47$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.528138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e80…6910backed Over80c105.84$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.171250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under29c104.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.11137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c4d…4829backed Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8516149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Under59c99.19$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5215832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Under51c97.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.997263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over77c91.52$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.051546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over75c90$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…cdc3backed Over74c89.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.42948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3642158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under20c79.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.94057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79f7…ef5bbacked Under63c79.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Under37c78.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.87742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ec…df67backed Over54c77.65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under21c73.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1422553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick68cpaid-40.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under18c69.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5519953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c67.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.114,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed Under35c67.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2160%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over75c65.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.599558.9%56 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over20c64.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4920241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Under78c63.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.343461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94ab…83f5backed Over63c62.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.974877.1%37 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over57c59.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7220341.9%85 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over61c58.33$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7516860.1%101 W · 67 L-0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bba…a2eabacked Under36c57.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…db25backed Over23c52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.041118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.560732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over58c48.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.476446.9%30 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.