La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36971fa4582f83dc73592bc441426033662f06a87129e09974308cf2c7eaa7b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elche CFof Club Atlético de Madrid, Elche CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 1c | 3,062$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…6aa2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 1,051$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bf…d34cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 1,039$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…2bd8backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 991$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa51c…53eebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 985$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…158ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 974$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…c65ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 964$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…265ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 962.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…d8dcbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 955$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9232…d5c6backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 954$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…3b97backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 934$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…9eafbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 933$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…4a4fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 932.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…331abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 922.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…fd52backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 922$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7e…47d1backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 910.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed96…2e78backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 904$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 384.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 5c | 299.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 5c | 283.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)this page
- Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.