TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,774 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbed3…2811backed Under69c30,527$20,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,970.631070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over31c8,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,52011054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under62c3,529$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.814141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over31c3,500$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,41510760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over46c3,327$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.375339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over32c2,796$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.7312132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over71c2,292$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.343,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under7c2,232$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2513645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.551,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over33c1,745$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.216550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c1,665$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.334,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over31c1,207$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.593455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under68c1,082$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.62665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6909056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69010257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37010820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under13c986.66$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2783640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over32c929.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9748251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over31c847.33$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.6610558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over31c800$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5529058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over31c800$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5529556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over32c781$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.0850249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over32c654.52$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.0347653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over31c645$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.0520159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over73c574.9$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3459354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over31c497.58$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.3310759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under13c457.12$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.644252.4%22 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+32.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over31c443.04$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.841,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9da0…523cbacked Over70c438.47$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91b…cddabacked Under68c438.09$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over31c420$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.813163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over31c420$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.812863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c4d…4829backed Under42c399.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over32c377.35$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.674457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over28c376.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.6512369.9%86 W · 37 L+29.7wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+69.5%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over31c370$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.312066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Over33c345.56$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.951338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over64c333.96$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4516363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c309.82$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2182844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20411331%35 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2078758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Under68c245.2$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7414549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under57c230.17$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.298833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under57c224.69$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.162462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over60c224.48$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.794247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over32c212.2$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.34344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1389060%54 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1388457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Under68c186.29$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.522653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under61c185.84$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.434942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over31c180$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.234252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Under68c158.66$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.896457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked Over31c150$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.52352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over31c150$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.529053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over31c150$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.543255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f77…f668backed Under32c149.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.961040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed Under39c148.31$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.511533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Under68c144.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0815832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under28c134.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.646330.2%19 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce42…5cddbacked Under37c130.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under9c114.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2245841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under34c110.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed Under37c108.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1760%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under46c102.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.323652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over32c101.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7522658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Under68c100.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.662864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x578f…eafabacked Under66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48db…b26ebacked Under68c99.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.361442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdab…8aeabacked Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.531241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c91.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.461,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over59c89.78$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.982623.1%6 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Under45c85.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.733461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over34c81.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8812958.1%75 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Under68c80.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.682454.2%13 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Over34c76.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.262161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb20…bea0backed Under41c71.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.391442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over34c70.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6149228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over32c69.69$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3919555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x514a…9c7fbacked Under68c66.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.441741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over39c61.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.821457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.613450.7%68 W · 66 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under61c58.87$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.911,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Under48c58.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.797263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe91c…317ebacked Under68c57.69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.231963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under69c52.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.054763.8%30 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a4…0182backed Under68c50.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5628138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47b2…4eb3backed Under68c49.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under67c47.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5169350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Over32c45.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.93050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9752…57a9backed Over32c45.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.921070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5dd…69ddbacked Under35c44.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.671163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under67c43.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4120857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under67c43.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.175352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02d…9b64backed Under68c43.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.421973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over32c40.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7627653.6%148 W · 128 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Over32c40.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.625558.2%32 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86b5…2ee9backed Under68c34.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.54475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.