La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49da45449375578c933bf1ab5c9e826e8e2b7485aa5220057c14e62dfcc62229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Atlético de Madridof Elche CF, Club Atlético de Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Elche CF | 27c | 5,239$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.9 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 75c | 4,045$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.74 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 73c | 3,504$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.46 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Elche CF | 19c | 2,504$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elche CF | 27c | 1,584$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.49 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Elche CF | 20c | 642.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 80c | 455.35$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Elche CF | 17c | 320.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 80c | 314.96$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Elche CF | 19c | 250.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Elche CF | 19c | 244.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Elche CF | 6c | 228.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Elche CF | 19c | 145.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed Elche CF | 20c | 142.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Elche CF | 17c | 140.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Elche CF | 17c | 108$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Elche CF | 21c | 105.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Elche CF | 19c | 103.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 445 | 24.3%108 W · 337 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Elche CF | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Elche CF | 19c | 98.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 78c | 90.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed Elche CF | 57c | 85.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 72c | 73.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 80c | 72.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Elche CF | 28c | 71.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Elche CF | 19c | 68.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 79c | 67.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Elche CF | 19c | 62.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 43c | 58.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +12.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 73c | 53.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Elche CF | 25c | 53.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 76c | 51.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Elche CF | 27c | 43.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 70c | 43.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 68c | 43.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 70c | 34.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 80c | 25.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 80c | 24.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 77c | 22.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)this page
- Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.