La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56b244d025f94b7b56c6d0b2054fcc6ad56c04e75222187aa4ec1708f2432465
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x575a…5cd7backed Under | 27c | 3,484$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 76c | 2,445$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 10c | 2,103$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.08 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 8c | 1,841$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.94 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 8c | 1,016$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 1,004$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 79c | 749.92$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.48 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 714.2$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.56 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 21c | 439.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 21c | 426.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Under | 9c | 378.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…0de5backed Over | 80c | 334.15$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 18c | 286.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 9c | 283.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Over | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Over | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 78c | 214.84$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Under | 22c | 190.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…491cbacked Over | 79c | 187.48$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…32c6backed Under | 10c | 182.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 79c | 162.48$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 8c | 151.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Under | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb017…9f48backed Over | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…a698backed Over | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 80c | 60.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 79c | 34.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Over | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Over | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Over | 80c | 14.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Over | 79c | 14.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5this page
- Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.