TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over56c54,477$30,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,014.7610450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf721…ecf5backed Under44c38,195$16,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,805.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over56c30,000$16,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,199.973342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c17,903$5,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,722.614,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under44c16,941$7,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,454.035339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over56c15,972$8,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,027.6617731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under45c9,632$4,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,334.2124147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Under44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,519.981952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under44c4,393$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.81457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c4,209$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.473,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under44c3,825$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.7935759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over56c3,365$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.5512132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over55c3,076$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.7165356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3509052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c2,711$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.482,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c2,574$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.241,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over56c2,550$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.0611444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under44c2,424$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under48c2,198$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.024141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under43c2,052$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.491952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under8c1,753$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over57c1,709$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.9213054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over56c1,565$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.476550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14fe…e0fdbacked Under45c1,550$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over55c1,528$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.423151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf209…15b9backed Under49c1,454$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c1,112$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.9669350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d3d…33e9backed Under44c1,092$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under44c1,091$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.041942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under44c1,045$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.4822448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4409056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a42…3d14backed Over57c974.2$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under43c969.17$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.536261.3%38 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39610859.3%64 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c854.56$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.469564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Under45c775.99$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over49c696.39$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under44c693.09$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.2249252.6%259 W · 233 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38e…e1abbacked Over57c681.94$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under49c585.69$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.941747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under44c559.96$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3810257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over56c523.45$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.32850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under44c439.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2823957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under44c439.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.283847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under44c433.49$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.749556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under39c429.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.961,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.813362.4%83 W · 50 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.813062.3%81 W · 49 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1762157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d1…555dbacked Under49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under44c376.62$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7174657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under44c370$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.812166.1%80 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under45c363$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3511430.7%35 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over55c360$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1626657.6%38 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under36c348.26$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.991,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over56c347.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over55c300.39$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.071,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1328055%44 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13211741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over57c295.68$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.148041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under36c292.57$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.862642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under48c290.64$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5113251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under45c290.1$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.553834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over55c282$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.928045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over49c241.36$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0915451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over49c237.4$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.081656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c0…2c7dbacked Over58c233.25$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe328…bbb3backed Under42c228.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9efa…f602backed Under42c226.48$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3061…916ebacked Under44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.64742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+53.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Under26c216.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.45812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb57d…ca49backed Over58c210.58$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under7c200.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0362258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under44c199.97$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9915344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9413426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over52c196.82$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.443250.7%219 W · 213 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over54c196.77$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9816363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under10c194.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae41…3439backed Over57c194.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…cd7dbacked Over57c194.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1323…aa90backed Over57c194.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Over56c194.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.681656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed Under10c189.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.922147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc155…dc0fbacked Under52c185.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.141040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under22c183.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.683652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under44c173.95$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.542343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.491747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under46c170.38$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.382951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under46c170.38$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3840357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under46c170.38$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.386660.6%40 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under46c170.38$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3828357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under46c170.38$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3823456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c157.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7375751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d13…cd85backed Under48c153.6$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under46c151.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4616860.1%101 W · 67 L-0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.561032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6629053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed Under26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.