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La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No40c1,547$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.214,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed No39c1,231$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.971020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c1,094$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.92,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes59c968.69$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.1622448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No40c949.19$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.7449252.6%259 W · 233 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes73c830.31$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.583,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes59c826.61$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.917950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes60c567.16$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5116160.9%98 W · 63 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No40c566.82$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.7348251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked No41c501$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No35c475.22$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.211,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No40c379.69$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8911430.7%35 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No40c325.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.331,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Yes60c318.86$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.543145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafb2…0942backed Yes60c244$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.63366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No39c200.05$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0265356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes60c195.96$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.392955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No41c190$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.94942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes60c169.17$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.677452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4277…3154backed Yes63c155.28$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes59c132.83$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.461,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Yes80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.72055%11 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c4…df8abacked No41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked No41c110.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.344085%34 W · 6 L+6.9wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed No21c99.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.941090%9 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.36per pick54cpaid+62.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes60c97.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.049154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Yes60c97.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.042560%15 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…cdc3backed Yes65c96.3$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.852948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed No41c95.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.011233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No40c89.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.761,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No35c83.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.181,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Yes60c81.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.532653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9186…491cbacked Yes60c81.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x586f…b5e3backed Yes60c81.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.53450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328454.8%46 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No40c79.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7222658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3453…f78fbacked Yes60c65.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.031560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa223…0894backed No42c58.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1250%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes60c48.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5210154.5%55 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes59c48.78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d61…3113backed Yes61c48.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes61c48.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.739541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked No45c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.67949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d16…1668backed No41c47.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes71c45.83$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.144057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Yes57c45.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.642955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes63c38.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3621457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1521…ae21backed No40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Yes60c32.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.016968.1%47 W · 22 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4911657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.495453.7%29 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes55c30.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6659855.5%332 W · 266 L+32.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes60c24.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.763551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Yes60c24.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.767548%36 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2119…9303backed Yes60c24.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.767060%42 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No42c24.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1419555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1051…dd15backed Yes61c24.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.371471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+78.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5fe…1daabacked Yes60c23.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.512382.6%19 W · 4 L+5.8wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+47.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x14dc…de4cbacked Yes60c19.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa77c…0cf6backed Yes60c18.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.