TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe5fe…1daa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 63 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.72
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$9.8
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$25.32
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60%+$11.63
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.44
Brazil to score first vs. Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.03
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.43
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.72
Spread: Senegal (-3.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.63
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.89
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.33
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$30.68
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$13.55
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2382.6%19 W · 4 L+5.8wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+47.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
La Liga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.35
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.45
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.22
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$44
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$56.44
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.49
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.51
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.51
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.96
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.61
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$24.05
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+150%+$75.54
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+118.3%+$59.1
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$9.11
Will Getafe win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$17.38
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$11.03
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$92.63
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+300%+$30.74
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.53
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.24
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.3
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$29.33
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.98
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$6.61
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$13.89
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$58.33
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.9
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.81
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$15.96
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+143.9%+$71.91
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.22
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.9
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.38
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$33.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$141.18
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$27.94
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$35.97
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.56
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17.33
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+61.3%+$6.59
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.5%+$11.97
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.