TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$581,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$673,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $581,238 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 594 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed No32c47,442$14,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,981.565040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes55c37,032$20,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,806.8871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes69c36,392$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,391.674139%16 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes69c20,752$14,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,466.791566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No32c17,612$5,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,635.814940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No32c17,240$5,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,516.694551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes69c16,123$11,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,057.072433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No32c15,205$4,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8651957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No31c14,700$4,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5572920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c14,689$6,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,483.791,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No31c13,460$4,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,172.5521144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No32c13,125$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2004030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9707…1861backed No31c11,061$3,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,468.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No31c10,572$3,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,277.242236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.382321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes70c9,140$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,739.863650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes68c7,700$5,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,46431049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No32c7,667$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.392842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c7,343$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.991,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No33c7,300$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.983450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes69c7,246$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.38650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No43c7,000$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9901163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes54c6,385$3,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.064723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eed…64c2backed Yes64c6,288$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.38366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes68c6,265$4,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.7687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No33c5,920$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.392835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes68c5,819$3,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.1852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No33c5,470$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.951250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2505538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No31c4,228$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes69c4,124$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.534746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes68c4,055$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.041250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No32c3,764$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.36520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes67c3,488$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.081050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes69c3,302$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.55757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes65c3,150$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.52653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes59c3,092$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.542944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9603964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No49c3,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.2735650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes68c2,941$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.18366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No46c2,719$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.8662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes55c2,692$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.131361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes69c2,609$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.7520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick66cpaid-71%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No31c2,564$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.766952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes58c2,500$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0554131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No33c2,328$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.951546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Yes69c2,318$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes68c2,118$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.65966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.335151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No48c2,010$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.0337638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-52.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes68c2,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.993748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd50f…4034backed Yes68c1,997$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.17650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed No32c1,977$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.511241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes68c1,965$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.2624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18c6…9634backed No32c1,900$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe45…7687backed Yes68c1,900$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes68c1,774$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes68c1,772$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.0623250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes68c1,744$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.129447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes59c1,710$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.21553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes56c1,666$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.041172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes64c1,600$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.9560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Yes68c1,472$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.54683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.15875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes68c1,413$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.241872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No36c1,374$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.244425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes57c1,360$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.81553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes59c1,359$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.376942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No33c1,331$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.1338056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Yes68c1,301$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.264100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0050…336cbacked Yes69c1,282$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.56366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No32c1,254$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.361225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked No41c1,226$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Yes71c1,132$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.435100%5 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No33c1,125$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3715757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3448…a954backed Yes63c1,077$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No45c1,047$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4711662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes68c999.98$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9927049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes69c971.49$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.491050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd31…4631backed Yes44c939.57$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes53c848.77$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.772040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes69c836.23$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes66c816.03$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.454252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes68c778.91$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.55650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes55c778.18$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.181573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6410964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes65c720$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.42161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No25c712.15$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0145233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes64c707.51$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.511330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No32c700$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22410545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No7c699.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes62c687.94$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.525040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No36c666$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.543745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x740d…9967backed Yes68c661.76$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.