Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10231ef1395e732c2c24de034febeaa190bd6cf2b12b9989d564bd78f7bcb54f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,316 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 7,064$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.77 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 13c | 5,769$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 1c | 5,372$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c9…4efdbacked Yes | 12c | 4,755$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed Yes | 12c | 3,219$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Yes | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 12c | 2,209$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.07 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,848$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 1,055$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 11c | 900$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…c45dbacked Yes | 13c | 806.46$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 12c | 641.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 12c | 593.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -84%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 12c | 518$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed Yes | 13c | 503.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 11c | 502.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 13c | 460$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d068backed Yes | 13c | 447.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…1c57backed Yes | 14c | 358$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 13c | 344.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 14c | 328.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 15c | 326.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…cb68backed Yes | 12c | 325$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6de…12f7backed Yes | 13c | 284.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…66a2backed Yes | 13c | 269.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed Yes | 13c | 266.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadee…0af2backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 249.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 13c | 208$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +167.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 13c | 207.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7d…facfbacked Yes | 12c | 196.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 13c | 195.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Yes | 14c | 185$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…09fcbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 149.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 11c | 139.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 13c | 136$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 13c | 132.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 12c | 123.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…ecf7backed Yes | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 119.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 12c | 117.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 15c | 94.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Yes | 14c | 77.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-13?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.