TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,936 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc974…b33bbacked No80c9,795$7,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.023450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No62c7,499$4,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,843.8371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c4,909$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes20c3,750$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-65.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No80c3,733$2,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.5252550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes20c3,285$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes32c3,155$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes24c2,195$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.2548649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes18c2,159$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.081,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf1…c48fbacked Yes19c1,444$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes36c699.06$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.44425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed No64c596.39$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes8c553.93$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.942313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes6c450$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.512039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes10c429.9$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.69955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No74c415.1$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x666a…6065backed Yes20c378.59$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes20c365$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes9c312.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.145233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6014045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b76…49b1backed Yes20c297.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes9c227.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.556518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db2…ca52backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes45c208$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.083080%24 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+64.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3813844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba97…716bbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+40.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No80c192.58$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5228448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6de…12f7backed Yes20c137.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b83…66a2backed Yes20c125.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No79c121.62$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5438056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d1…109bbacked Yes19c120$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2622340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.95644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211010%1 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes26c99.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.22445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes42c97.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No80c90$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1827049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No75c88.96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.926346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae86…a294backed Yes20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Yes41c77.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.791070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+90.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed No80c72$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes20c69.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No80c68.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6810855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf53c…9362backed Yes20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db4…ed8abacked Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No80c58.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.74148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes21c55.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.79346.2%43 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9675…30cbbacked Yes38c55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed No70c54.71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.411376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+43.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed No80c54.71$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes20c51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad9…b9f7backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1020454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6a…b518backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes40c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.637638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc85e…5d37backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Yes22c47.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No80c47.51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf549…102fbacked Yes42c47.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c5…eaecbacked No80c44.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+151%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9401…38cbbacked No80c42.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.431040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No80c41.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.33366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes25c41.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.261643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcbb…68fabacked Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No79c39.8$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2418155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc46a…baf8backed No57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No74c33.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8626040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69661.5%59 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06b…0e9ebacked No77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510960.6%66 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59467%63 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59767%65 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked No63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.812373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+36.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b38…a036backed No80c20.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43574.3%26 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2baf…f66ebacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e3…afc9backed No74c19.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.08666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a4…9a10backed No80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.610960.6%66 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7117…4339backed No80c17.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked No80c16.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.353948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed No80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.55778.9%45 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick76cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80bd…1f70backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf366…2dddbacked No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c1…b52bbacked No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c7…184dbacked No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.