TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf549…102f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT8360.2%50 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$21.45
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.44
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$6.89
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.13
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.83
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$13.9
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$16.04
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$16.97
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.44
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$45.02
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$61.83
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$17.99
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.87
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.28
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.77
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$24.88
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.58
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$111.14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$13.11
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.79
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$43.94
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+70.7%+$89.48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44%+$13.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$10.7
Will CD Riestra vs. CA Platense end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+61.5%+$12.31
Hersonissos: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+27.3%+$9.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.2%+$14.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.