Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c11cbf546db17c00f4b1afdb7db3bfac0e5dff3e8ff56211e3854a6472f6a6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,551 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 48c | 44,088$21,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,925.82 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Yes | 51c | 40,795$20,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,936.39 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 48c | 28,954$13,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,056.04 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Yes | 52c | 28,763$14,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,814.66 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed No | 50c | 26,120$13,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,060.08 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 48c | 19,513$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,213.27 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Yes | 52c | 19,272$10,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,021.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 52c | 17,802$9,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,257 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 52c | 14,462$7,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,520 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.95 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 49c | 9,750$4,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 52c | 9,231$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked No | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f84…0982backed Yes | 52c | 7,118$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.96 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Yes | 52c | 6,731$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 49c | 6,552$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.13 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 54c | 6,390$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 55c | 6,390$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533.29 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 52c | 5,590$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Yes | 52c | 5,577$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 4,651$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.35 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Yes | 52c | 4,533$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 4,467$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.19 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 52c | 4,397$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.44 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 72c | 4,146$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.43 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 40c | 4,100$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.02 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed No | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 49c | 3,960$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed Yes | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Yes | 52c | 3,411$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 49c | 3,137$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.92 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed Yes | 39c | 2,597$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 48c | 2,432$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.16 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 2,400$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.02 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 48c | 2,300$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 51c | 2,259$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.99 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 66c | 2,205$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.76 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed Yes | 52c | 1,934$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c1…caf8backed Yes | 43c | 1,529$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 49c | 1,490$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 62c | 1,362$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.56 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 1,318$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.42 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 50c | 1,280$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 52c | 1,187$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 1,164$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.47 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed No | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.02 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 50c | 997.67$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.4 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 942.89$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.02 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes | 61c | 919.21$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 52c | 900.92$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 48c | 884$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.68 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 48c | 770.04$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.46 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…7d3abacked No | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 50c | 680$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…94c7backed Yes | 51c | 670$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 66c | 665.56$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 642.99$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…b0e8backed Yes | 52c | 634.62$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 45c | 631.45$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.35 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…e9fabacked Yes | 51c | 630$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…96a7backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 49c | 599.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed No | 49c | 578$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 4c | 543.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 48c | 514.36$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.08 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked No | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 29c | 500$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 51c | 455.04$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.07 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 49c | 455$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 28c | 437.67$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 49c | 426.63$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.76 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Yes | 52c | 407.62$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed No | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Yes | 40c | 377.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88a…9df8backed Yes | 53c | 377.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed No | 49c | 369.33$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 48c | 335.41$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.41 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed No | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Yes | 28c | 304.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 43c | 300.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.