TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b70…3102backed Yes21c3,422$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes20c2,507$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.0118967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No69c1,700$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-69.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d9…6964backed Yes23c1,539$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c1,528$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.6180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes48c1,450$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes31c1,437$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.245140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e5b…f324backed Yes8c1,239$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked No78c1,220$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No70c1,211$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.0831834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes21c1,067$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.988845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes24c999.01$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.5337138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c998.42$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.623,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes30c953$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9939567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes19c919.18$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.473228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No78c866.68$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.7158043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed No72c700$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1963450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes13c699.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes42c580.95$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+61.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes23c562.27$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No71c551.03$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2226346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No53c536.12$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.327044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes19c498$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.623151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c489.96$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9926345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes35c470.47$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes29c422.74$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9954949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes28c416.96$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1156124.6%15 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2e…3fb7backed Yes25c399.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No67c351$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.513145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No73c333.89$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5119847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed No75c330.32$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.872213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-80.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No68c318.33$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6828851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes30c307$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3220660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No71c291.82$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.371,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes33c274.28$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2216856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked No78c242$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.241181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed No68c220$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.691258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No67c204$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.771952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes28c172$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.619960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c165.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.121,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes20c162.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1125934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No77c155$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6525149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.528721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No77c145$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3523643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No60c140$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.622166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes31c130.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402528%7 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes30c128.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4692346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf549…102fbacked Yes52c125.15$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes23c122.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1742947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No58c115.13$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9287154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked No66c114.71$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes21c113$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7320648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes22c109.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+105.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Yes23c99.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes47c95.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes22c91.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.223063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c21…12bdbacked Yes21c87.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.461060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b9b…b900backed No78c87.72$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes40c87.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4796756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8f8…73b4backed Yes24c84.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x620b…08f7backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+316.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5d…6096backed Yes52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No74c77.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.076154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed No77c76.42$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.581850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b8…b7b5backed Yes14c73.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes25c70.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.943447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes26c70.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1121545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes23c63.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0630…9368backed Yes20c63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No73c58.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.562334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a9f…3544backed Yes31c57.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes20c55.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.141625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ca1…5446backed Yes33c53.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes26c52.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.871942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes29c51.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7724920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes30c48.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes23c45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3530735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Yes36c42.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.461866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No76c39.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.494355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Yes40c34.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.091040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc186…ad81backed Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No76c34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1637649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.055349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No42c27.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7729370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No72c22.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.265250%26 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.