TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,150
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,150 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7702…9791backed Yes61c15,131$9,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,195.751172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c8,856$4,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,508.643,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa56b…d536backed Yes67c7,450$4,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,991.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No59c5,903$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No41c3,326$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.9177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes20c3,023$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.52837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No62c2,396$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.341,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No76c2,269$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.4925149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked No78c1,885$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.62366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-13.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No48c1,662$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9613950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Yes18c1,606$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.175547.3%26 W · 29 L+14.3wins+0.26per pick21cpaid+225.7%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No33c1,583$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.577044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes67c1,582$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.852846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No61c1,385$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.145140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed Yes67c1,330$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes66c1,324$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8755232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2be…fa51backed Yes65c1,319$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Yes69c1,148$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c1,137$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4980358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1297…ed45backed Yes65c1,119$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Yes68c1,053$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes17c940$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No58c919.77$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.5539567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes17c907.58$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.294035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes27c835.69$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6415144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No52c822.22$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.483228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Yes64c800$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes46c799.99$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.994252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No33c746.88$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.412552%13 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No54c724.66$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.2126346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb44…a8a2backed Yes70c683.87$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No33c666$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.221553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed No32c659.95$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.763528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes28c658.53$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4758043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No66c636.78$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3654949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No38c557.01$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No51c544.57$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1487154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No60c544.15$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.8141339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No74c520$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.851855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No53c517.64$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.2518967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf24e…080dbacked No75c517.01$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes28c509$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.433145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes23c500.01$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No76c500$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12215341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3b9…4df2backed Yes23c474.17$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No75c445$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.721952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes22c405$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.14843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No71c395.84$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8919847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes18c391.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No76c338.79$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3137649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed No71c337.86$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.864100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Yes38c317.11$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.51850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e6…a69bbacked Yes63c316.06$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.53040%12 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758446.4%39 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes18c294.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.291,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes29c294$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4719960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c290.54$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.851,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes64c260$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4631834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes27c254.77$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7953046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes29c242.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.313942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No63c238$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5220648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked No77c229.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Yes21c227.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.731758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc44a…8da6backed Yes23c221.83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes64c217.19$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes27c215$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6216856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes27c210$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.920660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c208.52$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9626345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No33c206.12$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0937138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8932…eb14backed Yes61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes22c199.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89fe…8d55backed No33c187.86$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No45c186.38$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2125934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No71c182.16$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.512334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes24c180$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.23545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No36c179.93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.932528%7 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaef2…1255backed Yes23c174.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No67c166.9$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9429370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c161$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6423643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked No59c156.82$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.081866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No77c152.44$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6692346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No64c152.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.868560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes17c151.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266124.6%15 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd629…1e72backed Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x015a…0f35backed Yes67c142.78$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes15c142$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.141258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…b94ebacked Yes69c130.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked No33c130$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.11681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes22c124$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.692646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf549…102fbacked Yes61c115.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes24c114.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.465626.8%15 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick29cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3f…a5b2backed Yes28c114$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No74c113$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.653145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11a0…be6ebacked Yes68c109.63$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Yes38c103$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2916453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed No57c99.96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.492857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.