NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4751c50fd1f354bb223135bb01c8ff18181ffa6291f7bc09848b23cb760be671
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Islanders, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $767,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $767,886 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 579 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Ducks | 48c | 168,465$80,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,421.51 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 51c | 142,008$72,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,731.28 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Islanders | 52c | 134,999$70,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,199.72 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Ducks | 48c | 56,984$27,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,631.88 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Islanders | 53c | 54,950$29,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,123.36 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Islanders | 53c | 51,000$27,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,030 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Ducks | 49c | 44,000$21,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,440 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Ducks | 47c | 29,610$13,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,693.3 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Ducks | 47c | 24,726$11,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,104.79 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks | 48c | 21,984$10,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,486.44 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Islanders | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Ducks | 47c | 18,888$8,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,010.64 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Ducks | 48c | 18,258$8,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,493.92 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Ducks | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Ducks | 49c | 12,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Islanders | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Islanders | 52c | 11,854$6,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,164.26 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Islanders | 53c | 10,009$5,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,304.89 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Ducks | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ducks | 47c | 9,842$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,192.6 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Ducks | 48c | 9,680$4,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,033.66 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Islanders | 52c | 9,607$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Islanders | 53c | 9,500$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 48c | 9,269$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,454.36 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Islanders | 53c | 7,662$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Ducks | 48c | 7,128$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,742.2 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Islanders | 54c | 6,925$3,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.28 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Ducks | 48c | 6,813$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.71 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks | 48c | 6,795$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.1 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 47c | 6,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.93 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 40c | 5,725$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.95 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Islanders | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Islanders | 53c | 5,600$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 47c | 5,068$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.66 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Islanders | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Ducks | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Islanders | 53c | 4,821$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Ducks | 47c | 4,120$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.55 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Ducks | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Islanders | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Islanders | 52c | 3,840$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 77c | 3,827$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.76 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Ducks | 47c | 3,714$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.22 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Ducks | 48c | 3,500$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.94 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Ducks | 48c | 3,482$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.05 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ducks | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.11 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Ducks | 78c | 2,942$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.3 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Islanders | 51c | 2,916$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Ducks | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Ducks | 47c | 2,500$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Islanders | 13c | 2,488$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.73 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Islanders | 51c | 2,466$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.06 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Islanders | 46c | 2,406$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Ducks | 46c | 2,357$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.74 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Islanders | 8c | 2,331$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.71 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +79%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ducks | 63c | 2,306$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.17 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Ducks | 72c | 2,187$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.44 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Ducks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Islanders | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…bf85backed Ducks | 49c | 1,932$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cb…8f9ebacked Islanders | 52c | 1,932$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Islanders | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Ducks | 48c | 1,751$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.61 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…0390backed Islanders | 62c | 1,653$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,553$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.46 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,550$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Islanders | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Islanders | 18c | 1,500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders | 10c | 1,498$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Ducks | 48c | 1,460$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.2 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Ducks | 49c | 1,389$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.35 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Ducks | 43c | 1,381$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.37 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Ducks | 48c | 1,265$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.49 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Islanders | 2c | 1,250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Islanders | 8c | 1,235$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Ducks | 42c | 1,217$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.22 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Ducks | 43c | 1,210$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.21 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Islanders | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Islanders | 41c | 1,148$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.39 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 46c | 1,147$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.27 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Ducks | 48c | 1,140$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.76 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ducks | 48c | 1,101$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.62 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…298fbacked Ducks | 49c | 1,063$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.53 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Islanders | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.67 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 52c | 1,021$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.69 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Ducks | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Ducks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e53…740ebacked Islanders | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Islanders | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Ducks | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Ducks | 48c | 999.95$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.97 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Ducks | 47c | 993.59$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.15 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Islanders | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…3ebebacked Islanders | 53c | 970$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…cb2cbacked Islanders | 52c | 949.15$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Islanders | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Ducksthis page
- Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Ducks won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.