NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eeeff975098202f0e81eafbd9e92199c15740862db2dcabf661a195a7282097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,523 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 37,283$17,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,560.12 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 52c | 21,330$11,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,091.46 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 53c | 18,719$9,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,833.2 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 53c | 12,690$6,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,663 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Over | 51c | 5,990$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.73 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 49c | 5,980$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.65 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 50c | 4,846$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 2,852$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.76 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 50c | 2,820$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.78 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Under | 48c | 2,623$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 51c | 2,344$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.46 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 2,116$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 49c | 1,763$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.66 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.3 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 48c | 1,004$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.85 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 48c | 999.99$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 52c | 955.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…8afbbacked Under | 48c | 940.67$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 800.03$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.02 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 775.7$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.16 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 51c | 702.34$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.19 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 52c | 615$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 53c | 547.89$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.79 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 43c | 546.72$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 51c | 513.93$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Under | 49c | 500$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 403$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.56 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 367.9$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 362.38$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.63 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 64c | 357.86$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.94 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 34c | 346.83$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 65c | 308.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…80adbacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…a659backed Over | 52c | 276.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 52c | 263.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932a…9c18backed Under | 49c | 239.01$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked Under | 49c | 235.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd2…1562backed Under | 49c | 226.93$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…98a0backed Over | 53c | 215.95$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e6…cebabacked Under | 48c | 204.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec2e…7913backed Under | 55c | 192.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…51cebacked Over | 52c | 189.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee52…1817backed Under | 48c | 161.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 39c | 158.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 52c | 156.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf664…8470backed Over | 53c | 149.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 37c | 131.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Over | 52c | 118.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Under | 48c | 114.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Under | 49c | 111.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 63c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 66c | 83.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 48c | 77.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 46c | 63.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…c71ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Over | 52c | 58.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Over | 50c | 55.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 50c | 52.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 54c | 49.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 62c | 41.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Under | 74c | 27.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5736…fdbabacked Under | 48c | 21.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…7593backed Under | 50c | 20.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed Under | 50c | 20.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 50c | 20.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Islanders vs. DucksDucks won
- Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Ducks won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.