NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b7d7039c1a5e3087c749cda4aae1f5f2550749d13b28f694f4e95ca7b6f4e2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,194,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,244,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,194,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 627 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 230,148$126,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,740.89 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 180,030$94,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,354.32 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flyers | 46c | 131,247$60,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,935.8 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 68,432$37,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,050.99 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Flyers | 45c | 40,893$18,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,414.8 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flyers | 45c | 30,940$13,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,017 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Flyers | 45c | 23,794$10,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,077 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 20,491$11,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,118.94 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…472fbacked Maple Leafs | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 14,785$8,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,009.07 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 13,550$6,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,639.48 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed Flyers | 47c | 10,860$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,795.17 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Flyers | 47c | 9,928$4,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,295.74 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 8,992$5,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,055.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 8,621$4,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,605.57 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 8,512$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,688.49 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flyers | 45c | 6,906$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,781.55 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Flyers | 47c | 5,978$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195.64 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Flyers | 55c | 5,658$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.9 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flyers | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 4,981$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.29 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Maple Leafs | 5c | 4,221$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.89 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +79%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Flyers | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Flyers | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Flyers | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.95 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.93 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 3,948$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.16 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa464…252dbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 3,747$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Flyers | 45c | 3,745$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.51 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 3,454$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.7 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 3,211$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.15 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 3,031$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.45 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Flyers | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,938$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.64 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flyers | 45c | 2,926$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.13 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…bac5backed Flyers | 45c | 2,700$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f30…736bbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,641$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.35 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 2,625$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.47 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f0…6ea4backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,613$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…30c9backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,574$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Flyers | 34c | 2,542$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.71 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Flyers | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Flyers | 45c | 2,467$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.94 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flyers | 44c | 2,378$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.56 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flyers | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.98 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,288$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.5 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,269$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.66 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.88 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Flyers | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.99 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 2,166$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.94 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,143$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.44 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,098$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.09 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…cf09backed Flyers | 49c | 2,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.97 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Flyers | 45c | 1,975$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.58 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Flyers | 46c | 1,882$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.01 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a27…e9dabacked Flyers | 46c | 1,879$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.26 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9d…330ebacked Flyers | 47c | 1,874$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…134abacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,874$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 48c | 1,851$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.79 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Flyers | 69c | 1,793$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -13.5wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,685$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.32 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flyers | 44c | 1,626$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.36 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Flyers | 46c | 1,576$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.07 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff84…b0e8backed Flyers | 47c | 1,574$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 1,564$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.25 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,530$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.4 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,528$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.84 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9056…9754backed Flyers | 45c | 1,381$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Flyers | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,255$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a43…da23backed Flyers | 47c | 1,240$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…5359backed Flyers | 47c | 1,226$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f64…a0fabacked Flyers | 46c | 1,155$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc5…03fbbacked Flyers | 47c | 1,148$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Flyers | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.99 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Flyers | 49c | 1,075$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.1 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Flyers | 60c | 1,042$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.1 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,040$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Flyers | 46c | 1,038$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.82 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Flyers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…ae69backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Flyers | 45c | 999.99$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flyers | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.98 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 991$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.23 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 983.33$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc852…2ec1backed Flyers | 46c | 979.93$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Flyers | 45c | 962.64$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.81 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Flyers | 46c | 933.04$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.04 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Flyers | 46c | 921.9$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.12 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 910.22$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.52 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Flyers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.