TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Maple Leafs, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,712 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Maple Leafs35c146,218$50,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,880.8319848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Flyers65c65,201$42,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,820.340351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers65c28,415$18,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,945.191,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Flyers66c20,594$13,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,060.2956152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers66c9,000$5,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0601,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Maple Leafs33c8,788$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.2489355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Flyers66c7,012$4,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.611,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Flyers66c5,520$3,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.2521555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Flyers66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Flyers66c3,847$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.432,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Flyers67c2,727$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.076657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Flyers66c2,239$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.942,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Flyers66c1,635$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.0391945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Flyers65c1,363$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.881,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Flyers66c600$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20432648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Maple Leafs33c598.03$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.353930.8%12 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Flyers67c585.41$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9939344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Flyers66c546.61$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.152,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Maple Leafs34c498.01$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1991653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Maple Leafs35c431.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15039751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Maple Leafs34c420$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.818344.8%82 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Flyers66c350$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11927150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Flyers69c322$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.343456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Flyers66c316$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.631753.3%169 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Flyers66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1027671.1%54 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Maple Leafs34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005044%22 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Flyers69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8625258.3%147 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Flyers65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Maple Leafs34c210$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.425337.9%96 W · 157 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ec…4c7fbacked Flyers69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627100%7 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Flyers68c190.46$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6648157.2%275 W · 206 L+21.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0a1…b711backed Maple Leafs31c155.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.251931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Flyers67c137.63$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4212058.3%70 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Flyers66c135.9$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.213847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Flyers66c117$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7884953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d54…a756backed Maple Leafs33c110.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615054%81 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Flyers68c93.37$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2719356%108 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…8b04backed Maple Leafs32c92.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020046%92 W · 108 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368c…e8d5backed Flyers66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Flyers66c74.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.377548%36 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Maple Leafs33c72.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8466552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Flyers74c67.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.124858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs36c65.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.663,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Flyers69c65.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5133154.1%179 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Flyers66c62.12$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1232155.5%178 W · 143 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1124…bbcabacked Flyers69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Flyers66c58.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7418551.9%96 W · 89 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Flyers67c56.74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0136852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Flyers68c50.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1629053.4%155 W · 135 L+1.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Flyers64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.87354.8%40 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Maple Leafs24c45.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1647024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Flyers70c45.78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7824749%121 W · 126 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x176e…af0bbacked Flyers66c44.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.192770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Flyers66c43.45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7728549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Flyers66c43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6217750.8%90 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Flyers66c42.55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4714853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Flyers71c38.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2114963.8%95 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cc6…31d3backed Flyers66c37.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.656053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Maple Leafs30c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.14047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Flyers71c36.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7216250%81 W · 81 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Flyers68c36.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5629052.4%152 W · 138 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd23d…9d38backed Flyers69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.232853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked Flyers68c35.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Maple Leafs36c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.551,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac06…9594backed Flyers61c32.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.963647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Flyers67c31.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3111955.5%66 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Flyers66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.324352.3%127 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Flyers66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.326657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…c578backed Flyers66c30.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1913450.7%68 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Flyers67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.95052%26 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8661…d866backed Flyers66c29.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.07650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Flyers67c28.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.318651.2%44 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a4…65c3backed Flyers67c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2411450%57 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Flyers66c27.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.549053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Flyers66c27.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.528550.2%143 W · 142 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…f9e3backed Flyers66c27.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.58354.2%45 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd0a…78b0backed Flyers67c26.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Flyers67c26.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.673953.8%21 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Flyers54c24.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.293951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Flyers75c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.692850%14 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7911…85a6backed Flyers67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.398652.3%45 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Flyers67c21.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2225354.2%137 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Flyers66c20.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1227453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f64…4b91backed Flyers72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.832454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf29…6870backed Flyers66c18.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.154158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.