NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Raptors

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc3ffae8f2a8c10f2d722964e10736d9250acbad4237310bb62729d1be3d29c6

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Raptorsof Heat, Raptors
Resolved: Apr 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,204,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,600,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,204,097 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1961…c461backed Raptors	61c	166,665$101,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64,999.34	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Raptors	61c	135,485$83,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,459.26	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Heat	39c	109,362$42,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,651.24	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Heat	39c	69,443$26,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,854.77	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Raptors	65c	66,772$43,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,458.85	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Heat	38c	53,586$20,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,221.54	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Heat	34c	48,319$16,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,575.61	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Heat	39c	33,158$12,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,919.68	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Heat	40c	30,848$12,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,339.2	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Heat	21c	30,826$6,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,388.94	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Raptors	61c	27,156$16,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,654.05	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Heat	38c	26,316$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,999.96	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	37c	25,181$9,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,225.93	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed Raptors	60c	24,735$14,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,893.98	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Heat	41c	24,354$9,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,985.04	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Raptors	62c	21,930$13,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,410.33	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Heat	39c	20,000$7,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,800	219	51.1%112 W · 107 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Heat	39c	20,000$7,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,799.98	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	39c	18,586$7,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,244.53	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Heat	6c	17,765$1,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,027.53	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Heat	39c	17,292$6,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,743.8	80	35%28 W · 52 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Heat	2c	17,242$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.12	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	39c	16,698$6,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,547.87	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed Raptors	60c	16,458$9,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,514.7	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7960…734dbacked Raptors	60c	16,108$9,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,443.05	36	69.4%25 W · 11 L	+4.9wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Raptors	68c	15,000$10,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,799.99	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Raptors	61c	15,000$9,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,849.97	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Raptors	60c	14,640$8,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,856	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Raptors	60c	14,313$8,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,747.58	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x783c…146abacked Raptors	61c	13,454$8,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,247.25	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Raptors	62c	13,188$8,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,011.67	169	59.8%101 W · 68 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Raptors	61c	12,808$7,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,995.07	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ec…5696backed Raptors	63c	12,774$8,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,711.03	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-4.7wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Heat	39c	11,985$4,674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,674.27	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked Heat	12c	11,188$1,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,302.09	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Heat	39c	11,111$4,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,333.29	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-6.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Heat	39c	10,704$4,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,174.69	153	49%75 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Heat	41c	10,114$4,147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,146.72	113	35.4%40 W · 73 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d6a…1c08backed Raptors	59c	10,005$5,870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,134.38	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.18per pick	60cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Heat	15c	10,000$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450	230	47%108 W · 122 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Raptors	60c	10,000$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,000	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Raptors	55c	10,000$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,499.98	354	44.6%158 W · 196 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45ac…6ab1backed Heat	0c	9,889$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.07	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Heat	39c	9,634$3,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,757.26	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Heat	40c	9,609$3,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,808.74	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Raptors	61c	9,607$5,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,746.76	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff52…8ccfbacked Raptors	60c	9,510$5,706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,803.83	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+61.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc18b…2624backed Heat	13c	9,234$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.77	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96ac…2c21backed Heat	2c	8,978$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.58	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf402…df7cbacked Raptors	61c	8,657$5,281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,376.32	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Heat	6c	8,401$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.38	89	23.6%21 W · 68 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Heat	6c	8,263$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.04	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+109.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Heat	38c	8,000$3,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,040	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Heat	7c	8,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Raptors	59c	7,221$4,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,960.56	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Heat	15c	6,876$1,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,047.22	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Raptors	64c	6,553$4,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,359.91	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c9d…614abacked Heat	16c	6,061$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.4	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Heat	39c	5,930$2,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,337.15	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Heat	40c	5,581$2,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,227.35	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors	79c	5,478$4,339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,139.18	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f3d…2023backed Raptors	64c	5,344$3,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,919.08	96	51%49 W · 47 L	-7.2wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe23…b587backed Raptors	62c	5,313$3,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,019.07	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Heat	0c	5,216$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.47	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Raptors	61c	5,046$3,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,967.94	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Raptors	61c	5,000$3,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,950	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…6729backed Heat	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.24per pick	53cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x418f…abf0backed Heat	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+65.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Heat	39c	5,000$1,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,954.99	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Heat	39c	5,000$1,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,964.98	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f9…fe42backed Heat	39c	4,916$1,917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,917.17	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.37per pick	54cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Heat	40c	4,832$1,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,932.63	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Heat	39c	4,817$1,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,878.63	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.33per pick	50cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Raptors	62c	4,728$2,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,796.79	88	59.1%52 W · 36 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Raptors	62c	4,728$2,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,796.79	172	50%86 W · 86 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Heat	40c	4,660$1,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,861.41	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Raptors	78c	4,494$3,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979.44	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Raptors	60c	4,392$2,616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,776.46	93	43%40 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf725…1e61backed Heat	0c	4,155$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Heat	39c	4,007$1,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,564.49	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Heat	9c	3,983$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.2	147	45.6%67 W · 80 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Raptors	67c	3,931$2,616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,314.87	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f3…73e6backed Heat	8c	3,854$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.34	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-39%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Raptors	61c	3,746$2,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,461.13	122	57.4%70 W · 52 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Raptors	75c	3,461$2,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870.36	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-15.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Heat	40c	3,435$1,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,373.87	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a3…dbd2backed Raptors	61c	3,300$2,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,286.99	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Heat	39c	3,276$1,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,277.53	381	43%164 W · 217 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Raptors	62c	3,265$2,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,240.68	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Heat	13c	3,238$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.23	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Heat	18c	3,221$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578.74	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Raptors	61c	3,202$1,953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,248.77	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb5b…8e29backed Raptors	62c	3,152$1,954 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,197.86	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Heat	40c	3,024$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.11	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Raptors	60c	3,000$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+3.2wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05ee…541bbacked Raptors	62c	2,995$1,857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,137.97	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Raptors	62c	2,932$1,818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,114.01	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Raptors	54c	2,917$1,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,341.91	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Heat	18c	2,825$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.06	298	48%143 W · 155 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8be2…494abacked Raptors	61c	2,722$1,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,061.45	26	73.1%19 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Heat vs. Raptorsthis page
1H Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Heat vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
Heat vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Over won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5Over won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5Over won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5Over won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5Over won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5Over won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5Over won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Over won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 245.5Under won
Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5No won
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-16.5)Heat won
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Raptors

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event