NBA · resolved market
Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a01035d99c763ea7ed04aeacb8d850c8188dfb4de22d422d30124924bedc9f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 52c | 796.05$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.03 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…1c84backed Yes | 48c | 609.14$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +82%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Yes | 50c | 224.26$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…d038backed Yes | 45c | 124.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…1fdbbacked Yes | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b70…ab35backed Yes | 45c | 71.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…09c9backed Yes | 35c | 64.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 68c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff3…e007backed Yes | 45c | 56.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Heat vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Heat vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Heat vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 245.5Under won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-16.5)Heat won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.