TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c7,195$3,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,929.789,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under54c4,161$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.811,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c2,894$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.254,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Under53c2,638$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.3312450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under57c1,938$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.8718345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over43c1,647$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.693246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under14c1,630$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.2517042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93a7…b221backed Under52c1,628$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.21957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.979650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Over74c1,310$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under28c1,178$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.5452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56145146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over75c1,059$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.119246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over60c1,019$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.033,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over49c985.2$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.4558951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over37c970.31$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Over46c969.86$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.695650%28 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under24c870.74$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.382,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over48c859.81$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.4281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea4…ea06backed Over49c796.89$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.413956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Under51c770.43$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.925330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under58c739.5$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.9195452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c734.69$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.172,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c678.31$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under29c654.87$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.371,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under20c654.62$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9727937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over46c619.07$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.621,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Over48c599.97$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.998353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over75c470.43$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.465872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under54c419.97$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.7956043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under55c408.76$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8292058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under55c389.2$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0644345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Under52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2438152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c371.09$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.11,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under28c360.8$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0846255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Over48c352.01$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.496150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over48c338.56$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0514338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x02d1…1cdfbacked Under52c291.36$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5241…c237backed Over49c288.88$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f7b…bc29backed Over47c283.27$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.136100%6 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under55c265.36$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9519950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac50…b875backed Under52c262.22$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe041…7154backed Over49c261.74$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under55c245.25$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.891,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over70c238.51$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9719166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over48c212.69$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.644740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under51c203.86$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9749852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Under18c198.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.718347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under55c197.64$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.736949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over33c195.77$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9747048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under24c192.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.141,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1213148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under55c186.62$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6448751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Over44c177.18$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.225450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a33…7909backed Under50c174.54$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.272751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under23c171.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.831,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Over50c163.94$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.971936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over49c161.46$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over45c156.88$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.283,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over32c153.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8937647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Under35c146.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.074953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over33c145.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over45c138.76$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2329344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over30c137.73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8841449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over37c135.11$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.713,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over45c129.77$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2558953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked Under54c127.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.111058.2%64 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over46c127.55$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.751,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over29c126.16$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1641753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under57c117.77$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.651,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over43c115.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.111,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c112.03$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.482,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c107.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.991,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under55c105.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Under62c103.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4818844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over48c102.69$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.42,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under55c102.17$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1995260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Under67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6738464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Over48c98.07$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under58c90.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.588439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over45c87.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2239448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x130b…0e07backed Under57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.712369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Under55c81.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.967243.1%31 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71f6…8804backed Over49c79.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.365151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd25…46eabacked Over44c78.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.271136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Over45c76.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.245427.8%15 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd146…aa94backed Over74c76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.881258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over44c73.65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.580653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under55c70.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8938751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f39…2e49backed Under57c68.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.971533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7747…7cf2backed Under21c67.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.882626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Over72c66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.487839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Over72c66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4812637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa426…540dbacked Under51c65.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.462263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf35e…f846backed Under53c63.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.717356.2%41 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6593…d9f8backed Under57c59.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under52c59.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.081,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.