NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d2c387156f4ec4666c924e152caaa02536f5537c717c1dbc611d73576834f67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Heat | 46c | 57,702$26,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,814.15 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Raptors | 53c | 24,764$13,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,644.43 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Heat | 47c | 21,561$10,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,133.48 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Raptors | 53c | 16,347$8,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,683.12 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Heat | 47c | 16,277$7,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,679.39 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 52c | 11,920$6,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.69 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Raptors | 52c | 11,415$5,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,491.96 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Heat | 49c | 10,765$5,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,274.8 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Raptors | 53c | 9,168$4,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.92 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Raptors | 53c | 9,108$4,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,294.29 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Raptors | 53c | 8,743$4,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,109.43 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Heat | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.95 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…3d49backed Raptors | 54c | 7,848$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.91 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 47c | 7,383$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,443.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 47c | 7,187$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…9c68backed Raptors | 54c | 6,608$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Raptors | 53c | 6,491$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.72 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Heat | 49c | 5,652$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.04 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Raptors | 52c | 5,603$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.48 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Raptors | 53c | 5,296$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.95 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Heat | 48c | 5,046$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Heat | 47c | 4,753$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.74 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Raptors | 54c | 4,502$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.76 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Raptors | 53c | 4,134$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.98 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Raptors | 52c | 4,098$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.85 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Raptors | 51c | 3,997$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.33 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 47c | 3,819$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Raptors | 52c | 3,735$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.98 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…b9a1backed Raptors | 54c | 3,601$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Raptors | 52c | 3,420$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.48 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heat | 11c | 3,270$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.75 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Heat | 48c | 3,130$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.58 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…d881backed Heat | 35c | 2,528$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Heat | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.99 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 48c | 2,499$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.41 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Raptors | 54c | 2,410$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.42 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Heat | 47c | 2,300$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.78 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Raptors | 52c | 2,254$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.07 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Heat | 47c | 2,005$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.3 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Heat | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Heat | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.98 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Raptors | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.78 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Raptors | 54c | 1,799$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.51 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat | 47c | 1,682$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.33 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 28c | 1,678$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Heat | 48c | 1,615$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.04 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Heat | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Heat | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Heat | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Heat | 48c | 1,453$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.54 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Heat | 47c | 1,441$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.46 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Raptors | 53c | 1,430$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.22 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Raptors | 52c | 1,397$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.83 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Heat | 46c | 1,388$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.47 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Raptors | 53c | 1,284$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.25 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Heat | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors | 51c | 1,130$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.53 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Heat | 47c | 1,124$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.34 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Heat | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Heat | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Raptors | 52c | 1,064$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.93 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.07 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…a066backed Heat | 33c | 1,023$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.38 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Heat | 11c | 1,016$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Raptors | 53c | 995.47$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.87 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Raptors | 51c | 980.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.35 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Heat | 46c | 963.64$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.28 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Raptors | 53c | 960$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.2 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Heat | 47c | 936.76$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.28 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Heat | 47c | 924.46$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Heat | 47c | 924.46$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Heat | 47c | 924.46$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Heat | 47c | 924.46$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Heat | 47c | 924.46$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Heat | 47c | 913.87$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.52 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…60b9backed Raptors | 52c | 905.83$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Heat | 47c | 877.54$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.44 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Raptors | 53c | 862.54$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.39 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Raptors | 52c | 836.73$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.63 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Raptors | 51c | 824$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.76 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Raptors | 52c | 771.32$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.2 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Heat | 28c | 763.96$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.48 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Heat | 47c | 751.65$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.27 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Raptors | 53c | 722.67$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.66 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Raptors | 53c | 692$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.24 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Heat | 46c | 686.36$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.79 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Raptors | 53c | 680.26$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.72 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Raptors | 53c | 676.59$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Heat | 47c | 671.54$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.62 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3748…a41abacked Heat | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Heat | 21c | 580.85$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Heat | 10c | 555.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8988…0251backed Raptors | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7084…0ae5backed Heat | 49c | 526.25$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Raptors | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Raptors | 52c | 453.85$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.85 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Raptors | 52c | 443.91$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.08 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Heat | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Heat | 47c | 399.69$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Heat | 7c | 374.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Heat vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Heat vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Heat vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 245.5Under won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-16.5)Heat won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.