NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc17dced2a805c7350618d3e3c778395277b888a8cd889b2d93f62f0fa96dcbdd

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Raptorsof Raptors, Heat
Resolved: Apr 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $421,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $419,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,462 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked Heat	53c	119,525$63,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63,348.05	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Raptors	47c	60,000$28,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,800	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Raptors	68c	41,993$28,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,452.51	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Heat	52c	29,912$15,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,554.12	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Heat	52c	15,431$8,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,024.1	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Raptors	49c	14,073$6,896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,177.11	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Raptors	51c	11,222$5,701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,520.93	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Heat	54c	9,075$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900.38	230	47%108 W · 122 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Raptors	47c	8,660$4,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,589.75	292	43.8%128 W · 164 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Heat	53c	8,223$4,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,358.06	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Heat	48c	8,064$3,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,910.38	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors	48c	6,664$3,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,434.37	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors	48c	6,481$3,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,370.77	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Raptors	48c	6,461$3,101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,359.56	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Heat	52c	6,108$3,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,176.18	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Raptors	48c	5,315$2,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,764.06	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Raptors	48c	5,046$2,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,623.83	208	43.8%91 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Heat	51c	4,874$2,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,485.75	122	40.2%49 W · 73 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Raptors	48c	4,588$2,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,385.9	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Raptors	67c	4,262$2,859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,402.32	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Raptors	48c	3,996$1,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,078.08	208	37.5%78 W · 130 L	+38.2wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+115.2%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Raptors	47c	3,890$1,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,061.62	144	41%59 W · 85 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors	47c	3,707$1,729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,977.73	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Heat	53c	3,500$1,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,855	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Heat	50c	3,451$1,726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,725.63	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Raptors	49c	3,100$1,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,571	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	22c	3,032$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.54	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Raptors	48c	2,947$1,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,532.32	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Raptors	66c	2,937$1,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,003.8	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Raptors	48c	2,910$1,397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,513.34	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Heat	30c	2,878$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.83	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Heat	51c	2,800$1,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,419.14	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c25…8824backed Raptors	48c	2,637$1,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,371.45	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Heat	53c	2,503$1,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,326.51	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391b…a066backed Heat	21c	2,406$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.99	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.3wins	-0.22per pick	49cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Raptors	75c	2,387$1,787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.56	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Raptors	51c	2,160$1,101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,058.26	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Heat	26c	2,118$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.66	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Raptors	48c	2,099$1,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,091.33	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Raptors	48c	2,000$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6975…11c1backed Heat	35c	2,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.98	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors	56c	1,998$1,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$874.5	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Heat	49c	1,960$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.5	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-9.5wins	-0.18per pick	45cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Raptors	48c	1,958$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,018.15	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Raptors	48c	1,938$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.55	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Raptors	51c	1,903$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$932.54	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Raptors	47c	1,881$884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.67	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Raptors	48c	1,830$877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$953.44	86	54.7%47 W · 39 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Heat	54c	1,817$981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$981.15	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Heat	9c	1,768$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.65	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	+6.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Heat	13c	1,593$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.33	213	54%115 W · 98 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Heat	49c	1,500$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-4.1wins	-0.24per pick	48cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Raptors	60c	1,484$890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$593.65	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Heat	53c	1,467$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.44	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Raptors	47c	1,461$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.39	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Raptors	47c	1,452$682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$769.76	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Heat	52c	1,334$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.68	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors	49c	1,319$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.19	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee6…6887backed Raptors	47c	1,300$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x714c…d0b8backed Raptors	48c	1,292$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$671.77	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Raptors	46c	1,134$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.36	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Heat	8c	1,110$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.15	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Raptors	47c	1,077$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.32	376	47.3%178 W · 198 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Raptors	48c	1,074$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.35	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Heat	51c	1,073$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.54	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Heat	23c	1,041$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.31	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Raptors	48c	1,034$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.53	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Heat	25c	1,024$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.66	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Heat	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.8	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Heat	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	176	37.5%66 W · 110 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed Raptors	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Raptors	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Heat	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Heat	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	237	42.6%101 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Heat	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x699d…0501backed Heat	49c	999.99$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Raptors	46c	999.99$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Raptors	47c	986.99$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.1	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Heat	50c	960.78$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.39	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Raptors	51c	951.57$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.27	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Raptors	50c	920.98$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.49	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea4…ea06backed Raptors	48c	910.96$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.84	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Raptors	47c	910.11$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.36	173	49.7%86 W · 87 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Raptors	57c	854.56$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.46	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+54.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2148…ae1dbacked Raptors	46c	799.99$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Heat	8c	770.71$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.66	220	47.3%104 W · 116 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Raptors	48c	748.26$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.09	170	47.6%81 W · 89 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Raptors	50c	709.53$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.27	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat	51c	706.18$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.31	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Heat	10c	668.04$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.04	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Raptors	48c	665.32$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.46	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Raptors	47c	637.81$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.84	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Raptors	47c	628.87$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.3	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Raptors	47c	618$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.54	186	43.5%81 W · 105 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Raptors	51c	591.36$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.85	443	45.1%200 W · 243 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Heat	53c	583.08$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.03	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raptors	72c	564.24$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.24	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Heat	8c	524.82$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.99	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Raptors	56c	520.86$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.77	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Heat	50c	519.75$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.7	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Heat vs. RaptorsRaptors won
Heat vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
Heat vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Over won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5Over won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5Over won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5Over won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5Over won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5Over won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5Over won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Over won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 245.5Under won
Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5No won
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-16.5)Heat won
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event