NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc56567f44cb6de5540d173f91e9b4fc0e007df36296bd53c94d2976d2ca435d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 32c | 99,857$32,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,406.02 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 52,828$27,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,357.43 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 52c | 49,371$25,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,750.69 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 52c | 18,603$9,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,889.66 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 14,636$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,510.97 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 20c | 14,528$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.68 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 12,201$5,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,917.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…d881backed Under | 43c | 11,397$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 52c | 9,882$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.02 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 48c | 8,826$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,236.37 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 48c | 6,808$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.76 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 6,200$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…d9f9backed Under | 50c | 6,143$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 5,697$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.52 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 48c | 4,037$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.6 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 51c | 2,194$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.84 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 2,130$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.41 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 48c | 2,109$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.36 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 14c | 1,951$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.14 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 1,546$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.43 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 52c | 1,263$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.03 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 50c | 1,262$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.65 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 18c | 1,121$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.18 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,074$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.31 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 48c | 1,062$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.59 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 49c | 997.51$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.78 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 966.25$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e9…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 937.82$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 897$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.56 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 838.42$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.51 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 49c | 831.75$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.56 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 51c | 824.06$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.27 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 53c | 796.37$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.66 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 758.53$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 48c | 737.81$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.66 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 672.07$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.68 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 49c | 650$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 643.93$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.77 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 54c | 641.78$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.22 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 639.33$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.88 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Under | 46c | 616$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.36 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 48c | 615.19$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.29 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 54c | 608.37$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.9 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb50d…81debacked Over | 51c | 601.39$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 5c | 568.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Under | 15c | 492.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 48c | 475.52$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.27 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 43c | 451.46$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Under | 51c | 436.77$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.75 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 4c | 413$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 54c | 400.72$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.68 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…d690backed Over | 51c | 378.53$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.48 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Over | 48c | 365.87$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.47 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 56c | 329.36$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.08 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Under | 47c | 295$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 51c | 294.73$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 292.61$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…e80ebacked Under | 47c | 290.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 49c | 290.17$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.52 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…2ef2backed Over | 54c | 289.16$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb099…3fa4backed Over | 53c | 286.68$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 52c | 279.85$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 56c | 261.03$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 249.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 13c | 220.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 50c | 216$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 51c | 215.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…1c26backed Over | 52c | 204.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Under | 50c | 203.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…e05cbacked Under | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 48c | 197.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.81 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Under | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f2…27d4backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +8.9wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 52c | 185.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Over | 49c | 181.34$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 49c | 164.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 51c | 161.1$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Over | 44c | 155$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 51c | 154.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d0…8db8backed Under | 49c | 152.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Under | 49c | 146.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 45c | 133.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 130.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 50c | 130.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…caefbacked Under | 50c | 130.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed Under | 50c | 130.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed Under | 50c | 130.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 48c | 112.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 51c | 110.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Over | 44c | 104.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Heat vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Heat vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Heat vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Over won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 245.5Under won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-16.5)Heat won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.