TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,607
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,607 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd529…f0d4backed No52c915.65$476 inWon+$439.341,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No54c492.87$265 inWon+$228.0990863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x45b5…6ee9backed Yes49c412.02$201 inLost-$200.7940%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceac…a5b8backed Yes48c289.67$138 inLost-$138.0630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Yes47c206$97 inLost-$96.825843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb960…d289backed Yes55c201.78$111 inLost-$110.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de4…95d2backed Yes44c201.16$88 inLost-$88.441553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Yes55c200$110 inLost-$11039864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f4c…dd9abacked No45c182.66$82 inWon+$100.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0603…8f62backed No54c150$81 inWon+$69.42955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf9…5f13backed Yes45c144.25$64 inLost-$64.41812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-81.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x710c…d488backed Yes43c120.2$52 inLost-$51.660%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No57c105$60 inWon+$45.1595260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x798e…abe3backed Yes47c101.6$47 inLost-$47.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79b4…c59fbacked No45c94.62$43 inWon+$52.047569.3%52 W · 23 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes48c86.63$41 inLost-$41.23,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b39…617fbacked Yes47c65.84$31 inLost-$30.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a8…b852backed Yes44c41.52$18 inLost-$18.272657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda83…be6abacked Yes42c36.34$15 inLost-$15.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No52c35$18 inWon+$16.8337753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No58c22.23$13 inWon+$9.2519555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No53c21.88$11 inWon+$10.3933653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd31a…e653backed No53c20$11 inWon+$9.366347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No57c20$11 inWon+$8.5726957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.