TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb960…d289

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: UFC, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.05
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$142.99
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bernardo Sopaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$108.09
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$164.7
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.6
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$94
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$129.24
UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Louie Sutherland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+203%+$94.93
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Alexander Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.4
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Montel Jackson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
UFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Max Griffin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.5
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Charles Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$220.58
UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Jasmine Jasudavicius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$63.46
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$96.59
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed JJ Aldrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$210.54
Will Jirí Procházka win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.73
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$76.96
UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Charles Radtke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$83.85
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Ethyn Ewing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$78.19
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Dione Barbosa (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Dione Barbosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$80.36
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.83
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$661.22
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.25
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$180.32
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.1
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.23
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.24
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.03
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.64
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$110.2
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$57.33
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.45
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+250.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+250.9%+$164.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$114.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.