TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,670 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under52c77,537$39,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,541.655053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over48c30,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,40031149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over48c29,023$13,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,894.4211,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under52c14,821$7,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,114.1359549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c13,050$6,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,412.354,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under53c10,996$5,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,214.761,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c9,525$4,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,563.861,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over48c7,640$3,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,667.223538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under53c6,249$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,953.0154152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c4,545$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.111,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over48c4,115$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.6449158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over50c3,117$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.212,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c2,386$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.1212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c2,000$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.415,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c1,923$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.816,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c1,766$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.958,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over40c1,486$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.818,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over49c1,401$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.6465549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c1,190$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.021,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Over50c1,000$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49555052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over33c926.13$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.271,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Under53c794.79$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.9218551.4%95 W · 90 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c744.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.151,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over48c668.42$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8411256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over50c608.19$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.091,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under50c552.88$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.448948.3%43 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under61c546.32$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.92,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over49c500$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.31,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2359,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b55…1167backed Under61c489.36$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8510860.2%65 W · 43 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcede…6736backed Under50c484.09$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.041566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c435.42$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.081,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under53c432$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0467742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under53c382.55$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7734452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Under51c369.43$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.433959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over48c364.58$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17539948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Over36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10848354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14410057%57 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.461,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Under50c256.25$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.139945.5%45 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010945.9%50 W · 59 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over48c240$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.278155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over49c240$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.813452.2%70 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb960…d289backed Under49c225$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under53c214.14$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1945246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under53c192.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8427146.9%127 W · 144 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under50c166.8$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.429354.9%161 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over38c166.51$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.136,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under46c157$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1749942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526845.9%123 W · 145 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under64c140$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.455847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Under52c139.2$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.845337.7%20 W · 33 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Over24c131.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2422154.3%120 W · 101 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ef6…9b93backed Under53c128.58$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.766741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c128.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.174,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under51c124.18$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.458,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa564…e6f3backed Under51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.651643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Under62c115.77$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9910555.2%58 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c112.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.81,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010246.1%47 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over48c104.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9899744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb069…498cbacked Under49c98.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+53.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under53c97.47$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0311551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under53c94.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8952449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under50c94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Under50c78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7045…f88bbacked Under50c77.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.25,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under47c74.51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7326853.4%143 W · 125 L+1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3541249.5%204 W · 208 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over48c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7617645.5%80 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf504…132ebacked Under50c62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315540%22 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.840341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x579a…d402backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3072247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011250%56 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cd7…8e4abacked Under52c58.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.033644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over41c53.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.786,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under62c52.81$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0720852.9%110 W · 98 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over48c51.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513353.4%71 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over48c50.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2428850.3%145 W · 143 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bec…aad9backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0421353.5%114 W · 99 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c74…14d6backed Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7bc…352ebacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.674259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Under51c41.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1924350.6%123 W · 120 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020764.7%134 W · 73 L+21.2wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under51c40.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8167453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under70c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.85,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed Under51c35.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.295253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…db17backed Over49c34.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.921931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.