MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbda60d91a1320f144e87f1873a35d12b60f73f4fd777fc5f9a46407b4adf792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 52c | 77,537$39,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,541.6 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 29,023$13,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,894.42 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 52c | 14,821$7,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,114.13 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 13,050$6,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,412.35 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 53c | 10,996$5,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,214.76 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 9,525$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,563.86 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 48c | 7,640$3,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,667.2 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 53c | 6,249$3,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.01 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 4,545$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.11 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 48c | 4,115$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.64 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 50c | 3,117$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.21 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,386$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 2,000$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.41 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 1,923$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.81 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 1,766$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.95 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 40c | 1,486$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.81 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 49c | 1,401$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.64 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 1,190$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.02 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 33c | 926.13$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.27 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 53c | 794.79$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.92 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 744.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 668.42$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.84 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 50c | 608.19$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.09 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 552.88$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.44 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 61c | 546.32$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.9 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 500$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.3 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 61c | 489.36$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.85 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Under | 50c | 484.09$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.04 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 435.42$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.08 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 53c | 432$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.04 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 53c | 382.55$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.77 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Under | 51c | 369.43$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.43 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 48c | 364.58$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Under | 50c | 256.25$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.13 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 49c | 240$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…d289backed Under | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 53c | 214.14$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 53c | 192.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 50c | 166.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 38c | 166.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 46c | 157$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Under | 52c | 139.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 24c | 131.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Under | 53c | 128.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 128.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 124.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa564…e6f3backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Under | 62c | 115.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 112.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 48c | 104.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…498cbacked Under | 49c | 98.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under | 53c | 97.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 53c | 94.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…f88bbacked Under | 50c | 77.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 47c | 74.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked Under | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…d402backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…8e4abacked Under | 52c | 58.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 53.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 62c | 52.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 48c | 51.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 48c | 50.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…aad9backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c74…14d6backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…352ebacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 51c | 41.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 51c | 40.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Under | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…db17backed Over | 49c | 34.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit TigersBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.