MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e7e06e3e2f69e471ce91d5baec345fb5bb6da024b7fee291bbf4f7b4d0e9183
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 35,000$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 33,776$9,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,018.91 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 18,868$9,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,433.96 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 18,791$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700.08 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 16,777$8,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,656.27 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 15,631$8,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,353.87 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 14,869$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,551.97 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 13,993$6,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,136.24 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 13,423$7,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,956.58 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 7,956$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 7,847$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,846.56 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 7,209$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.15 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 6,786$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393.23 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 6,379$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 6,000$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.23 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 5,917$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.64 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf776…bd5cbacked Detroit Tigers | 24c | 4,447$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 4,393$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.88 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 4,367$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 3,997$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.59 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 3,544$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 3,369$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.54 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 3,336$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.18 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 2,601$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.45 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 2,503$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.71 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,841$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.37 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 1,802$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.84 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 1,752$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.69 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Detroit Tigers | 30c | 1,733$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.61 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 1,626$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.66 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…461ebacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 1,534$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,432$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.71 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 1,424$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.3 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Detroit Tigers | 5c | 1,206$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,179$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 1,040$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.22 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,021$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,020$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.99 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 996.34$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.68 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 993.33$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.35 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Detroit Tigers | 4c | 957.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Detroit Tigers | 2c | 956$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Boston Red Sox | 77c | 734$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Detroit Tigers | 4c | 705.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 700.02$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.07 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 10c | 655.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 631.79$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 560.29$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.48 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Detroit Tigers | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 553.71$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.71 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 17c | 534.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 532.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.29 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 508$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.88 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 492.65$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.18 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Detroit Tigers | 24c | 457.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.29 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…d4a7backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 455.95$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 433.55$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 422.25$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 410$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 391.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Detroit Tigers | 4c | 387.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Boston Red Sox | 73c | 385.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 382.53$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.82 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 355.97$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…0c49backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 340.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 325.69$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Boston Red Sox | 68c | 323.53$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 295.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 273.85$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.93 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Detroit Tigers | 14c | 265.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 256.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 251.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 247.61$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…4a90backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 243.55$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 236.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…abcfbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 232.05$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 208.07$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.