Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa3ed868ca39e10ab0974e97c7c416d83c18ac2875efcd318ae2ea69a91a1f57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 44c | 4,883$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.47 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Under | 59c | 4,156$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 1,124$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 51c | 1,112$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.16 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 56c | 1,063$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.09 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 1,025$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.06 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 806.49$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.66 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 45c | 459.22$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.57 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 40c | 390.91$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.65 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 323.3$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.82 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 64c | 283.4$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 56c | 257.77$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.35 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 225.85$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…d289backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 56c | 178.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 56c | 143.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6309…1f50backed Under | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 58c | 124.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 122.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 57c | 112.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 56c | 96.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 41c | 85.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 55c | 70.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 56c | 63.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 56c | 62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 41c | 61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 57.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 41c | 46.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 41c | 46.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 42c | 45.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Under | 56c | 39.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 42c | 36.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 56c | 35.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 56c | 34.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 56c | 34.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 42c | 27.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 57c | 26.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 43c | 25.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 58c | 25.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under | 56c | 23.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Under | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Vitória SC (-1.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.