Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdecb284a7c45061ac9e61a91350abf123c6414746b2787bc61d40f259e83f159
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sporting CPof Sporting CP, Vitória SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Vitória SC | 46c | 3,033$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.42 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sporting CP | 61c | 3,012$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Sporting CP | 56c | 1,389$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Vitória SC | 31c | 1,181$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.41 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Sporting CP | 55c | 872.73$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Vitória SC | 44c | 728.42$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.58 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sporting CP | 52c | 493.61$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.93 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Vitória SC | 45c | 485.46$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.21 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Vitória SC | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Vitória SC | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vitória SC | 15c | 168.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Vitória SC | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Sporting CP | 55c | 111.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Sporting CP | 54c | 55.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Sporting CP | 54c | 55.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Sporting CP | 53c | 50.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Vitória SC | 47c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Sporting CP | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked Vitória SC | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Sporting CP | 71c | 31.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Sporting CP | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Sporting CP | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Sporting CP | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vitória SC | 45c | 27.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)this page
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Vitória SC (-1.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.