Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53912da36be7cc084a563c442da429bc96a167ad43e1a2f770b001f2b30517d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 55c | 4,319$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.19 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 67c | 2,809$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.54 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 28c | 1,812$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.98 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 72c | 1,296$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.96 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 1,224$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.87 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 57c | 1,146$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.37 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 26c | 1,071$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.54 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed Over | 45c | 999.96$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 909.52$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.84 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Over | 60c | 830$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 66c | 687.85$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.05 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 77c | 596.02$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.94 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…d737backed Over | 67c | 383.22$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 362.71$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.46 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 24c | 299.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.77 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 66c | 221.39$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 59c | 169.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 75c | 159.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 73c | 123$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 25c | 116$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 74c | 107.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 77c | 104.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…b8ecbacked Under | 66c | 101.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Over | 64c | 93.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 57c | 75.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 64c | 73.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 25c | 60.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 72c | 59.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 24c | 56.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 23c | 53.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 49c | 49.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 61c | 49.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd96…11ebbacked Under | 78c | 44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Over | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 50c | 35.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 60c | 33.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Under | 73c | 32.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…d0bfbacked Under | 75c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Under | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98b9…f1c2backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1818…2c75backed Under | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 61c | 18.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked Under | 77c | 13.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 75cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Vitória SC (-1.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.