TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd96…11eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 53 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick76cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Viking FK vs. IK Start: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Rosenborg BK vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Molde FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.48
Lillestrøm SK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.04
SK Brann vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.78
Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.91
Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.26
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$12.03
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
Kayserispor vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.72
SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.4
Sparta Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.04
Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
PEC Zwolle vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.56
Lillestrøm SK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.84
Odense BK vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.44
FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$10.38
FC Porto vs. FC Alverca: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$6.97
NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$7.68
AFC Ajax vs. PSV: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$10.64
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.88
FC Groningen vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.62
Gaziantep FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.64
Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.76
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
All 25 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick76cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.53
New York Red Bulls vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.44
Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.58
Portland Timbers vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
FC Dallas vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.6
CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.08
Chicago Fire FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.6
Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.75
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$5.84
San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+29%+$7.99
New York Red Bulls vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.48
Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Real Salt Lake vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.89
Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.87
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick77cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$10.64
FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$19.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.24
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.